JJ Aldrich vs Lauren Mueller UFC Picks & Predictions - 10/12/2019
JJ Aldrich vs Lauren Mueller
UFC Fight Night 161
Amalie Arena in Tampa
Saturday, October 12, 2019
JJ Aldrich will face off with Lauren Mueller at UFC Fight Night 161 in Amalie Arena in Tampa on Saturday, October 12, 2019. The opening odds have Aldrich priced at -221 while Mueller is coming in at +179.
JJ Aldrich will be looking to add a victory to her career total of 7-3-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and stands 5' 5". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 67". Lauren "Princess Tiger" Mueller measures 5' 5" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 5-2-0. The 27-year-old extends her reach 67". With respect to significant strikes, JJ Aldrich is landing 3.65 per min while Lauren Mueller is landing 4.22 significant strikes per minute. Aldrich is landing 38% of the significant strikes she tries while Mueller connects on 43%. Regarding defending in the cage, Aldrich takes 4.22 significant strikes per min while "Princess Tiger" allows 3.41. Aldrich also prevents 61% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way and Mueller thwarts 60% of them.
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When it comes to takedowns, JJ Aldrich is not as effective of a wrestler as she takes her opponents to the mat 0.22 times per 3 rds. Aldrich is taking her opponents to the canvas on 16% of the times she tries and is stopping 58% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. Mueller is scoring a takedown on 40% of her takedown attempts and defending 75% of all takedowns attempted on her. Regarding submission attempts, Aldrich is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish as she has yet to try one while Mueller goes for 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds.
In her previous bout, JJ Aldrich went up against Maycee Barber and wound up losing the fight via a punch to the head in round 2. Barber landed 59 of 115 total strikes that she let go in that contest. Aldrich ended the night having landed 28 of 88 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Barber ended up landing 55 of 110, giving her a percentage of 50%. She finished the fight landing 34 of 83 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Aldrich ended up landing 29% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 25 of 85. Out of those significant strikes, she landed 23 of 82 to the head. 70% of the significant strikes connected on by Barber and 76% of them connected on by Aldrich were done at a distance.
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In the last bout for Lauren Mueller, she faced off with Poliana Botelho and ended up walking away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Botelho ended up connecting on 70% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance while Mueller ended up landing 89% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Mueller landed 40% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 47 of 116. She connected on 28 of 87 significant strikes directed at the head. Botelho landed 47 of 84 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, she landed 19 of 45 directed at the head. Relating to the strikes she fired off in this contest, Botelho was 152 of 202 while Mueller ended up connecting on 105 of 182 total strikes.
Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Mackenzie Dern will enter the Octagon with Amanda Ribas. Dern will be looking to add a victory to her total of 7-0-0. The 26-year-old is weighing in at 115 lbs and measures in at 5' 4". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 63". Ribas measures in at 5' 3" and weighs 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 7-1-0. The 26-year-old reaches 66". Regarding grappling, Mackenzie Dern takes her opponents to the mat 0.86 times per 15 min and Amanda Ribas takes her opponents to the canvas 4.19 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Dern is connecting on 4.87 strikes per minute and connecting on 48% of the strikes that she attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Amanda Ribas, who is connecting on 51% of the strikes she has attempted and connects on 2.93 per minute.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Michelle Waterson is set to enter the Octagon with Joanna Jedrzejczyk. Jedrejczyk has a record of 15-3-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and comes in at 5' 6". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 65". Waterson comes in at 5' 3" and will fight at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 17-6-0. The 33-year-old extends her reach 62". In terms of grappling, Joanna Jedrzejczyk deflects 80% of the takedowns her opponents attempt and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 66% of her tries. Waterson is taking her opponents to the mat on 65% of her attempts and is able to stop 62% of takedowns her opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Jedrejczyk takes 2.77 strikes/minute and she is dealing 6.07 per min. Waterson, at the same time, absorbs 3.07 strikes per minute and lands 3.61 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take JJ Aldrich (-221)
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