Holly Holm vs Raquel Pennington Expert UFC Picks - 10/5/2019
Holly Holm vs Raquel Pennington
UFC 243
Marvel Stadium in Australia
Saturday, October 5, 2019
Holly Holm will battle Raquel Pennington at UFC 243 in Marvel Stadium in Australia on Saturday, October 5, 2019. The opening moneyline has Holm coming in at -208 while Pennington is priced at +167.
Holly "The Preacher's Daughter" Holm holds a mark of 12-5-0. The 37-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and stands 5' 8". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 69". Raquel "Rocky" Pennington comes in at 5' 7" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to her career record of 10-8-0. The 31-year-old extends her reach 67". When talking about significant strikes, Holly Holm is connecting on 2.82 per min while Raquel Pennington is landing 3.39 significant strikes per minute. Holm connects on 34% of the significant strikes she attempts while Pennington connects on 45%. Regarding defending, "The Preacher's Daughter" takes 2.83 significant strikes per minute while "Rocky" takes 3.33. Holm also defends 57% of the significant strikes that are thrown her way while Pennington prevents 64% of the shots thrown.
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Regarding takedowns, Holly Holm is not as effective of a grappler as she is able to score a takedown 0.55 times per 15 minutes. Holm is getting her opponent to the mat on 31% of the times she tries and is stopping 79% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. Pennington is getting her opponent to the mat on 26% of her takedown tries and defending 64% of all takedowns attempted on her. Regarding going for the sub, Holm is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.1 submissions per 15 minutes while Pennington looks to get 0.9 submissions per 15 minutes.
In her previous bout, Holly Holm squared up with Amanda Nunes and ended up losing the fight by a kick to the head in round 1. "Lioness" landed 17 of 36 of the strikes she let go in total for this contest. Nunes finished the fight going 0 of 1 in takedowns and didn't make any sub attempts on her opponent. "The Preacher's Daughter" walked away from this fight having landed 14 of 17 total strikes. She didn't make any submission attempts. Concerning significant strikes, Nunes landed 17 of 35, which gave her a percentage of 48%. She landed 8 of 23 significant strikes directed at the head, 6 of 9 directed at the body and 3 of 3 aimed at the legs. On the other side of the cage, Holm ended up landing 78% of her significant strikes by sticking 11 of 14. Of those significant strikes, she was 3 of 4 pointed at the head. She was also able to land 0 of 1 to the body and 8 of 9 to the legs in this contest. 64% of the significant strikes connected on by Nunes and 100% of them landed by Holm were done at distance.
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In the last fight for Raquel Pennington, she faced off with Irene Aldana and wound up taking home the victory via split decision in round 3. Aldana landed 88% of her significant strikes at distance and Pennington landed 87% of her significant strikes at distance. Pennington landed 34% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 47 of 137. She connected on 29 of 108 significant strikes to the head, 9 of 20 aimed at the body and 9 of 9 aimed at the legs. Aldana landed 52 of 184 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she ended up landing 10 of 18 aimed at the legs, 10 of 27 directed at the body and 32 of 139 to the head. Relating to total strikes thrown in that contest, Aldana ended up connecting on 75 of 208 and Pennington connected on 86 of 181 of all the strikes she attempted. Aldana walked away from this contest without making any submission attempts in this contest. Conversely, "Rocky" took Aldana to the mat on 1 of 6 attempts and notched 0 submission attempts.
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Robert Whittaker will face off against Israel Adesanya. Whittaker walks into the cage with a mark of 21-4-0. The 28-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and comes in at 6' 0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 73". Adesanya stands in at 6' 4" and will fight at 185 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 17-0-0. The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 80". Regarding grappling, Robert Whittaker takes his opponents to the canvas 0.37 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Whittaker tags his opponents 4.82 strikes/minute and connecting on 40% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Israel Adesanya, who is landing 51% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 4.44 per minute.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Dan Hooker is set to square up against Al Iaquinta. Iaquinta walks into the cage with a record of 14-5-1. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and measures 5' 10". The orthodox fighter reaches 70". Hooker stands in at 6' 0" and will fight at 155 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 19-8-0. The 29-year-old reaches 75". Concerning wrestling, Al Iaquinta stops 73% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents down on 20% of the times he tries. Hooker is taking his opponents to the mat on 37% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 77% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Iaquinta is taking 4.26 strikes per minute and he is dishing out 4.20 strikes per minute. Hooker, in contrast, is taking 5.07 strikes/minute and lands 4.46 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take Holly Holm (-208)
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