Bryce Mitchell vs Matt Sayles UFC Point Spread Picks - 12/7/2019

Bryce Mitchell vs Matt Sayles

UFC on ESPN 7

Capital One Arena in Washington, DC

Saturday, December 7, 2019

Bryce Mitchell will face off with Matt Sayles at UFC on ESPN 7 in Capital One Arena in Washington, DC on Saturday, December 7, 2019. The opener has Mitchell at -185 while Sayles is priced at +160.

Bryce "Thug Nasty" Mitchell will be looking to add a win to his record of 11-1-0. The 25-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and measures 5' 10". The southpaw fighter reaches 69". Matt "Robo" Sayles stands 5' 7" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 8-2-0. The 25-year-old has a wingspan of 68". Concerning significant strikes, Bryce Mitchell lands 1.83 per minute while Matt Sayles is connecting on 6.16 significant strikes per minute. Mitchell lands 48% of the significant strikes he tries and Sayles lands 41%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Thug Nasty" absorbs 2.05 significant strikes per min and "Robo" takes 3.38. Mitchell also prevents 59% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Sayles is able to curb 63% of them.

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In terms of takedowns, Bryce Mitchell is the more capable grappler as he gets a takedown 1.50 times per 3 rounds. Mitchell is finishing his takedown attempts on 23% of his tries and defending 33% of all takedowns attempted on him. Sayles is scoring a takedown on 0% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 86% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Mitchell is the more experienced of the two fighters by attempting 1.5 finishes per 3 rds while Sayles goes for 0.5 finishes per 15 minutes.

The last time he fought, Bryce Mitchell squared up with Bobby Moffett and wound up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Moffett ended up landing 25 of 63 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Mitchell finished this fight landing 28 of 56 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Moffett ended up landing 9 of 42, which means his percentage was 21%. He ended up landing 5 of 37 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Mitchell ended up landing 38% of his significant strikes by sticking 17 of 44. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 7 of 29 pointed at the head. 88% of the significant strikes landed by Moffett and 94% of them connected on by Mitchell were done at distance.

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In the last bout for Matt Sayles, he faced off with Kyle Nelson and got a win for the night by way of an arm triangle in round 3. Nelson landed 92% of his significant strikes at distance while Sayles landed 64% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Sayles ended up connecting on 51% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 75 of 147. He ended up connecting on 45 of 113 significant strikes directed at the head. Nelson landed 26 of 93 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 18 of 82 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that fight, Nelson connected on 32 of 103 and Sayles landed 106 of 181 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Makhmud Muradov will square up in the Octagon with Trevor Smith. Muradov comes into this fight with a mark of 23-6-0. The 29-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and stands 6' 2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Smith comes in at 6' 3" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 15-9-0. The 38-year-old has an arm span of 75". Regarding grappling, Makhmud Muradov is able to score a takedown 0.58 times per 3 rds and Trevor Smith takes his opponents to the canvas 1.86 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Muradov tags his opponents 3.60 strikes per min and landing 31% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Trevor Smith, who tags his opponent on 57% of his attempted strikes and lands an average of 3.34 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Cynthia Calvillo is set to take on Marina Rodriguez. Rodriguez comes into this bout holding a record of 12-0-1. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and comes in at 5' 6". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Calvillo comes in at 5' 4" and will fight at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 8-1-0. The 32-year-old extends her reach 64". In the category of takedowns, Marina Rodriguez is able to prevent 84% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 33% of the times she tries. Calvillo is taking her opponents to the mat on 36% of her tries and stops 69% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Rodriguez absorbs 3.06 strikes per minute and she is dealing 6.18 strikes/minute. Calvillo, on the other side, is absorbing 3.50 strikes per minute and is connecting on 3.87 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Matt Sayles (+160)

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