Alexandre Pantoja vs Matt Schnell Predictions, Picks, UFC Fight Night 165 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 12/12/2019

Alexandre Pantoja vs Matt Schnell

UFC Fight Night 165

Sajik Arena in Busan, South Korea

Saturday, December 21, 2019

Alexandre Pantoja will face off with Matt Schnell at UFC Fight Night 165 in Sajik Arena in Busan, South Korea on Saturday, December 21, 2019. The line has Pantoja priced at -181 while Schnell is at +159.

Alexandre "The Cannibal" Pantoja looks to add a win to his total of 21-4-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and measures in at 5' 5". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 67". Matt "Danger" Schnell stands in at 5' 8" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 14-4-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach 70". Regarding significant strikes, Alexandre Pantoja is landing 4.40 per min and Matt Schnell is landing 3.64 significant strikes per minute. Pantoja lands 46% of the significant strikes he attempts while Schnell is connecting on 34%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "The Cannibal" allows 3.47 significant strikes per min and "Danger" takes 3.69. Pantoja also prevents 56% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Schnell is able to curb 62% of the shots thrown his way.

Concerning grappling, Alexandre Pantoja is the better grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.96 times per 3 rounds. Pantoja is getting his opponent to the mat on 31% of the times he tries and is defending 60% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Schnell is getting his opponent to the mat on 40% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 58% of the tries against him. Regarding subbing the opposition, Pantoja is less likely to go for the finish by trying 1.4 submissions per 15 min while Schnell looks to get 1.8 submissions per 3 rds.

In his last bout, Alexandre Pantoja went up against Deiveson Figueiredo and was defeated by unanimous decision in round 3. Figueiredo ended up landing 71 of 117 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Pantoja finished this fight landing 68 of 160 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Figueiredo landed 67 of 113, which gave him a percentage of 59%. He landed 53 of 98 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Pantoja ended up landing 40% of his significant strikes by landing 61 of 151. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 41 of 122 aimed at the head. 68% of the significant strikes connected on by Figueiredo and 78% of them connected on by Pantoja were done at a distance.

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In the last bout for Matt Schnell, he fought Jordan Espinosa and ended up getting the victory via a triangle choke in round 1. Espinosa ended up landing 95% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Schnell ended up landing 90% of his significant strikes at distance. Schnell ended up landing 25% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 3 of 12. He connected on 2 of 11 significant strikes directed at the head. Espinosa landed 5 of 6 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 2 of 3 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that fight, Espinosa ended up landing 5 of 6 while Schnell connected on 3 of 12 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Raoni Barcelos squares up against Said Nurmagomedov. Barcelos steps into the Octagon with a mark of 14-1-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and stands 5' 7". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 67". Nurmagomedov measures 5' 8" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 13-1-0. The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 70". When it comes to grappling, Raoni Barcelos is able to score a takedown 2.46 times per 3 rds and Said Nurmagomedov scores a takedown 0.86 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Barcelos connects for an average of 5.77 strikes per min and lands 53% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Said Nurmagomedov, who is landing 59% of the strikes he has attempted and connects for an average of 4.69 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Ryan Benoit is set to enter the Octagon with Heili Alateng. Alateng holds a career mark of 13-7-1. The 27-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and stands 5' 5". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 66". Benoit measures 5' 5" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 10-5-0. The 30-year-old reaches 68". Regarding takedowns, Heili Alateng prevents 90% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown tries on 42% of the times he tries. Benoit is finishing his takedowns on 20% of his attempts and curbs 62% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Alateng is taking 5.67 strikes/minute while he is dishing out 2.40 strikes per minute. Benoit, in contrast, absorbs 3.20 strikes/minute and deals 2.38 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Alexandre Pantoja (-181)

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