Al Iaquinta vs Dan Hooker UFC Point Spread Picks - 10/5/2019
Al Iaquinta vs Dan Hooker
UFC 243
Marvel Stadium in Australia
Saturday, October 5, 2019
Al Iaquinta will enter the Octagon against Dan Hooker at UFC 243 in Marvel Stadium in Australia on Saturday, October 5, 2019. The opening line has Iaquinta priced at -118 while Hooker is coming in at -104.
Al "Raging" Iaquinta looks to add a win to his career total of 14-5-1. The 32-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and measures in at 5' 10". The orthodox fighter reaches 70". Dan "The Hangman" Hooker comes in at 6' 0" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his record of 19-8-0. The 29-year-old stretches 75". When talking about significant strikes, Al Iaquinta lands 4.20 per minute while Dan Hooker is landing 4.46 significant strikes per minute. Iaquinta is connecting on 41% of the significant strikes he throws while Hooker connects on 43%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Raging" absorbs 4.26 significant strikes per min and "The Hangman" takes 5.07. Iaquinta also deflects 62% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Hooker defends against 54% of them.
Related: Gambling 101 Series - How Odds are Calculated - Docs Sports
In terms of grappling, Al Iaquinta is the more productive wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.69 times per 15 minutes. Iaquinta is getting his opponent to the mat on 20% of his tries and is stuffing 73% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Hooker is finishing his takedown attempts on 37% of his takedown tries and is defending 77% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding sub attempts, Iaquinta is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.3 finishes per 3 rounds while Hooker tries 0.5 finishes per 15 min.
In his last appearance in the Octagon, Al Iaquinta faced Donald Cerrone and wound up losing the fight via unanimous decision in round 5. "Cowboy" ended up landing 140 of 363 total strikes attempted in that contest. Cerrone finished this match without a takedown and didn't try to finish the fight via submission. "Raging" finished this fight landing 90 of 223 total strikes. He finished the fight going 0 of 5 in getting the takedown and tried no submission attempts. In regard to significant strikes, Cerrone ended up landing 138 of 361, which gave him a rate of 38%. He landed 87 of 302 significant strikes aimed at the head, 17 of 25 to the body and 34 of 34 directed at the legs. Statistically, Iaquinta landed 40% of his significant strikes by sticking 90 of 223. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 49 of 165 to the head. He also landed 23 of 38 to the body and 18 of 20 aimed at the legs in this contest. 93% of the significant strikes connected on by Cerrone and 100% of them connected on by Iaquinta were thrown at a distance.
Related: Get UFC picks & tips
In the last fight for Dan Hooker, he went up against James Vick and got a win for the night by a punch to the head in round 1. Vick connected on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Hooker landed 86% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Hooker ended up landing 53% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 22 of 41. He connected on 13 of 24 significant strikes to the head, 0 of 3 directed at the body and 9 of 14 aimed at the legs. Vick landed 7 of 23 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 5 of 6 aimed at the legs, 0 of 1 aimed at the body and 2 of 16 to the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that fight, Vick landed 7 of 23 while Hooker was 22 of 41 of all the strikes he attempted. Vick ended this match without getting a takedown and didn't make any submission attempts in this contest.
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Jake Matthews will enter the Octagon with Rostem Akman. Matthews walks into the cage with a mark of 14-4-0. The 25-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and stands in at 5' 11". The orthodox fighter stretches 73". Akman comes in at 5' 10" and weighs 170 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 6-1-0. The 27-year-old has an arm span of 72". Regarding grappling, Jake Matthews gets his opposition to the mat 2.26 times per 15 min while Rostem Akman scores a takedown 2.00 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Matthews connects for an average of 2.96 strikes per minute and connecting on 46% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Rostem Akman, who lands 39% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 2.60 per minute.
Another bout to watch is when Serghei Spivac is set to go up against Tai Tuivasa. Tuivasa walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 10-2-0. The 26-year-old weighs in at 264 lbs and measures in at 6' 2". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 75". Spivac measures 6' 3" and weighs in at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 9-1-0. The 24-year-old reaches 78". In terms of wrestling, Tai Tuivasa is able to stop 66% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 0% of his tries. Spivac is taking his opponents down on 0% of his tries and stops 0% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, Tuivasa is taking 3.67 strikes per minute while he is connecting on 4.37 strikes per min. Spivac, moreover, is taking 20.40 strikes per minute and deals 1.20 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take Dan Hooker (-104)
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Most Recent UFC Predictions
- Karol Rosa vs Vanessa Melo Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds
- Amanda Ribas vs Paige VanZant Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds
- Jessica Andrade vs Rose Namajunas Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds
- Martin Day vs Davey Grant Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds
- Makwan Amirkhani vs Danny Henry Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds
- Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs Muslim Salikhov Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds
- Petr Yan vs Jose Aldo Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds
- Alexander Volkanovski vs Max Holloway Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds
- Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal Predictions, Picks, UFC 251 Odds
- Jordan Griffin vs Youssef Zalal Predictions, Picks, UFC Vegas 4 Odds