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Monday Night Football Picks: Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles


by - 11/29/2018

Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz

It's a rather bland but important NFC East matchup on Monday night to conclude Week 13 as the Washington Redskins and Philadelphia Eagles face off. It has to be unusual for these rivals to play for the first time in a season this deep into it. Shoot, the Redskins are already done with the Cowboys and the Eagles are with the Giants.

The Cowboys (6-5) played Thursday night at home vs. the Saints, a game Dallas could easily have lost. Thus, we could have a three-way tie atop the East by Monday around 11:30 p.m. ET if Philadelphia (5-6) beats Washington (6-5). The Redskins have split with the Cowboys and are 2-1 in the division. Dallas is 3-1. The Eagles are 0-1 vs. the Cowboys (they play next Sunday) and 2-1 in the division.

Between these two, Philadelphia's schedule is much harder as it should be as a first-place team from last year: at Cowboys, at Rams, vs. Texans, at Redskins. Washington's: vs. Giants, at Jaguars, at Titans, vs. Eagles.

If you are thinking wild-card route to the postseason, Washington currently sits sixth and Philadelphia ninth. On Bovada's odds to make the playoffs , the Skins are +275 and -450 to miss. The Eagles are +200 and -300 to miss.

Redskins at Eagles Betting Story Lines

I'm not a huge fan of Redskins starting quarterback Alex Smith, but two things: 1) No one deserved the type of injury he suffered in a Week 11 loss to Houston, and now there's even talk it could be career-ending, which is awful; 2) He's certainly a capable NFL quarterback and way better than backup Colt McCoy.

When will teams learn to sign a good backup, just in case, if they have playoff ambitions? McCoy made his first start in four years on Thanksgiving and did throw for 268 yard and two scores but also three picks in a 31-23 loss in Dallas. Smith, to his credit, rarely turned the ball over. The Redskins simply don't have anyone on offense that scares a defense. Adrian Peterson is having a nice bounce-back season but is fading in a big way, failing to top 68 yards in four straight games. Washington's receivers are a bunch of No. 3 guys - if that. This team needs to go offense-heavy in the 2019 draft.

The Eagles have all the talent in the world, but the motivation might be lacking after that unlikely run to last season's Super Bowl title. Carson Wentz has still been quite good, and Zach Ertz is clearly the NFL's best tight end this year. The team might have found its future at tailback in undrafted rookie Josh Adams. He put up 84 yards and a TD on 22 carries in last week's harder-than-it-should-have-been 25-22 comeback win over the Giants. That trade for WR Golden State hasn't worked out yet as Tate has just 11 catches for 97 yards and no scores in three games since coming over from Detroit.

Defensively, the Eagles have really slipped - mainly in the secondary, which has been destroyed by injuries. Last week against the Giants, the three primary cornerbacks were Cre'von LeBlanc, De'Vante Bausby and undrafted rookie Chandon Sullivan. None were on the Eagles' active roster as of a month ago, and only LeBlanc had started an NFL game before Sunday. Four of the Eagles' top five corners did not dress because of injury.

Redskins at Eagles Betting Odds and Trends

At 5Dimes , Philadelphia is a 7-point favorite (+110) with a total of 44. On the moneyline, the Eagles are -260 and Redskins +220. On the alternate lines, the Eagles are -7.5 (+130), -6.5 (-110) and -6 (-118). Washington is 7-4 against the spread (3-2 on road) and 5-6 "over/under" (2-3 on road). Philadelphia is 3-8 ATS (1-5 at home) and 4-7 O/U (1-5 at home).

The Redskins are 7-20 ATS in their past 27 Monday games. They are 5-1 ATS in their past six after a loss. The Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their past four vs. teams with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in the past five in the division. The under is 5-2 in Washington's past eight after a loss. It's 8-2 in the Eagles' past 10 following an ATS loss. The over is 4-1 in the past five meetings. The Skins are 6-2 ATS in the previous eight.

 

Redskins at Eagles Betting Prediction

Washington has won two of its past three in Philadelphia but lost there 34-24 last year. The Eagles have won the past four Monday Night Football games in the series. The Redskins haven't beaten a defending Super Bowl champion since December 2012 vs. the Giants.

It's time for the Eagles to turn it up a notch to at least have a chance to repeat. Give the 6 points and go under the total.

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