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MLB Betting Advice: Studs and Duds for Best Teams to Bet On


by - 5/18/2018

Giancarlo Stanton of the New York Yankees

At the quarter point of the baseball season it's a good time to look at which teams have been kind to bettors and which teams have been burning money in bulk. So, dear friends, it's time for us to look at the MLB betting studs and duds for the first time this season. For the sake of consistency, we will look at moneyline performance for each team over the course of the whole season. For reference, there have been 14 teams so far that have produced a net profit on moneyline bets on the season, and 16 that have cost money for those who have bet on them in every game.

Studs

1. Atlanta Braves: The Braves have been the biggest pleasant surprise of this season, so it is no surprise that they have been the top profit producer. They have been doing a strong job of rebuilding and have a lot of young talent around, so a lot of people expected them to take a step forward. But a step forward would have been 75 wins and solid play form their young core. Right now they are still on pace for more than 100 wins, and they are first in their division. It's crazy, and it probably won't last, but it sure has been fun - and the future is bright.

2. Milwaukee Brewers: The Brewers are the second-most-profitable team in baseball right now, and they are doing that despite being only 10-9 at home. The secret to the success is that they are 16-9 on the road, and road success creates sweet profits - especially when most people don't know much about your team. I struggle to believe this is a playoff team long term, but if the playoffs started today they would grab a wild-card spot.

3. New York Yankees: The Yankees are off to a stellar 28-12 start. That's the kind of record a team as public as the Yankees has to have to have any shot of creating profits. They feel like they can sustain success, too, because several key pieces on the mound and at the plate still have upside left to mine.

4. Arizona Diamondbacks: Arizona is just 3-7 in their last 10 games, and they still have a two-game lead in the NL West. That's everything you need to know about what a mess that group is right now. They don't allow a lot of runs, and that is what is keeping things going for them, but they need to find another gear if they want to be more than a default division winner.

Duds

1. L.A. Dodgers: The Dodgers were the pick of many to win the National League - at least. 17-26 doesn't win a lot of titles, though. They have been a mess in every possible way. Injuries to key players. Underperformance. Discord. Drama. It's a total disaster. And I, for one, couldn't think of a team who could look better going through this. They deserve it. When a public team is scuffling this badly then big losses are all but a guarantee. That they have lost more money for bettors than any team is the furthest thing from a surprise.

2. Chicago White Sox: The Braves are a long-rebuilding team that is ahead of schedule with their young core. The White Sox are a long-rebuilding team that has won 10 of their first 39 games and seems totally without direction. To the shock of no one, one of those approaches is more profitable than the other.

3. Baltimore Orioles: It would be interesting to get into the minds of the management of this team to see what their plan was over the last couple of years. They were a pretty strong team a couple of years back, but they have done absolutely nothing to maintain that recently, and now the only thing you can possibly care about concerning this team is who they are going to trade Manny Machado to. Just awful.

4. Kansas City Royals: I bet that if you told 10 random people on the street that the Royals had folded three years ago, at least two of them would believe you. They were all in on their last rebuild, and as soon as they won their title they seemed to have given up entirely. They just don't seem to care anymore - and they certainly don't care about the people who bet on them

5. Cleveland Indians: The Indians have been dominant the last couple of years. Now they are leading their division, but they are only at .500. I don't know whether that is depressing or hilarious. Actually, I do know - sporting struggles in Cleveland are always hilarious.

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