2018 Golden Globes Odds and Expert Betting Predictions
It's that time of year again when the awards season starts, and the first one is the Golden Globes this Sunday night! Offshore sports books MyBookie and Bovada were two of the first online books to release odds on the 75th Golden Globe Awards. The Golden Globes air live on Sunday night, Jan. 7, 2018, and I know I will have lots of action on the betting board. Some of these categories have huge favorites, but they also have outstanding entertainment betting value. At this time I will show you the current odds on the 75th Golden Globes Awards and tell you if you should jump on some long shots or take the favorite.
Awards shows like this are such a great betting option because a sharp handicapper can easily score a big profit, especially at the Golden Globes where we have seen some shocking snubs. I can guarantee we will see some shocking upsets in 2018.
Last year I didn't write an article on the 74th Golden Globes because the heavy favorites were going to steal the show and they did. This year I believe some categories are wide open, and I do see some good plus-money winners on Sunday. There is a reason the sportsbooks offer such low limits on these entertainment-betting props as they want to decrease their exposure. However, when a dog hits -- and we will see some underdogs win Sunday night -- that's when you can make some good Golden Globe cash. If you are going to place some cash on the Golden Globes, I highly recommend betting them early because these numbers will move quickly because of low limits.
The 2018 Golden Globe Awards are on Sunday Jan. 7, 2018 at 8 p.m. EST on NBC with host Seth Meyers
75th Golden Globe Awards Odds - Provided by MyBookie
Best Motion Picture - Drama
The Shape of Water +180
The Post +145
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri +280
Dunkirk +330
Call Me By Your Name +650
(Last year winner: Moonlight, Odds +150) This category is between three movies, and it wouldn't shock me to see either The Shape of Water, The Post, or Dunkirk gets their name called. Getting Guillermo del Toro's movie The Shape of Water at almost 2-1 seems like a steal, and I see this movie taking down two big heavyweights like The Post and Dunkirk. Prediction: The Shape of Water +180
Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
Lady Bird -280
Get Out +200
The Disaster Artist +800
The Greatest Showman 16-1
I Tonya 11-1
(Last year winner: La La Land, Odds -1200) Betting odds are telling us that this category is a two-movie race, but I just don't see it. Lady Bird in my eyes should be around -400 or higher, and female director Greta Gerwig did an outstanding job with this movie. If you are looking for a long shot, keep an eye out for I Tonya at 11-1 because this movie is getting some late buzz. Prediction: Lady Bird -280
Best Actor - Motion Picture - Drama
Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour) -410
Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name) +300
Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread) 9-1
Tom Hanks (The Post) 9-1
Denzel Washington (Roman J Israel ESQ) 13-1
(Last year winner: Casey Affleck, Odds -225) Affleck took the win last year, and two years ago it was Leonardo DiCaprio -300 for The Revenant and this year again we will see another big favorite win. Gary Oldman in the Darkest Hour was brilliant, and if you have Tom Hanks and Denzel Washington in your category and you are still a -400 favorite you should have no worries. Prediction: Gary Oldman -410
Best Actor - Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
James Franco (The Disaster Artist) -300
Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out) +250
Steve Carell (Battle of the Sexes) +800
Hugh Jackman (The Greatest Showman) 13-1
Ansel Elgort (Baby Driver) 20-1
(Last year winner: Ryan Gosling, Odds -900) I just got done watching James Franco in the HBO series The Deuce and I thought his acting was pretty good, but after I saw him play in The Disaster Artist I knew laying -300 is not that bad. Grab the -300 now because this number will climb, and I just don't see anybody else in this category stealing the Globe Sunday night. Prediction: James Franco -300
Best Actress - Motion Picture - Drama
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri) +100
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water) +120
Meryl Streep (The Post) +400
Jessica Chastain (Molly's Game) 10-1
Michelle Williams (All the Money in the World) 13-1
(Last year winner: Isabelle Huppert, Odds +550) My heart wants to take the big underdog Jessica Chastain 10-1 in Molly's Game but this year I see Frances McDormand getting her first Golden Globe. This category is stacked, and it wouldn't shock me to see either lady win, but again I see McDormand winning Sunday night. Prediction: Frances McDormand +100
Best Actress - Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird) -350
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya) +300
Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes) +750
Helen Mirren (The Leisure Seeker) 18-1
Judi Dench (Victoria and Abdul) +650
(Last year winner: Emma Stone, Odds -1200) A huge favorite won last year, but this year I smell upset. Saoirse Ronan is the favorite with her role in Lady Bird, but I believe Margot Robbie from 'I, Tonya' takes the win. Robbie played the disgraced figure skater Tonya Harding, and her dark humor stole the movie. Getting 3-1 seems to good to pass. Prediction: Margot Robbie +300
Best Director - Motion Picture
Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk) -200
Guillermo Del Toro (The Shape of Water) +130
Martin McDonagh (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing) 10-1
Ridley Scott (All the Money in the World) 18-1
Steven Spielberg (The Post) 8-1
(Last year winner: Damien Chazelle, Odds -400) Best Director this year is not only one of the toughest categories to pick a winner, but how come no female directors? The easy pick is Christopher Nolan, but I'm taking Guillermo Del Toro, so that means Steven Spielberg wins Sunday night. Prediction: Guillermo Del Toro +130
75th Golden Globe Awards Odds - Provided by Bovada
Best Foreign Language - Motion Picture
The Square -175
First They Killed My Father +150
A Fantastic Woman 15-1
In the Fade 18-1
Loveless 20-1
(Last year winner: Elle, Odds - None) I've only seen the Foreign film First They Killed My Father, and that was outstanding, so I will be rooting for that film. No Prediction!!
Best Television - Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for Television
Big Little Lies -700
Feud: Bette and Joan 9-1
The Sinner 9-1
Fargo 15-1
Top of the Lake: China Girl 15-1
(Last year winner: The People v. O.J, Odds - None) Last year The People v. O.J. Simpson would have been around -10,000 or higher, but nobody put odds on the limited series, and this year we have another heavy favorite. HBO series Big Little Lies is the clear favorite, but keep an eye out for The Sinner at 9-1. I don't see Big Little Lies getting upset, but Jessica Biel's performance in The Sinner was nothing but brilliant. Prediction: Big Little Lies -700
Best Television Series - Drama
The Handmaid's Tale -500
The Crown 9-1
Stranger Things 9-1
This is Us 10-1
Game of Thrones 12-1
(Last year winner: The Crown, Odds - None) Last year the clear favorite was The Crown, and this year the clear favorite is The Handmaid's Tale and this Hulu sensation should have no problem grabbing the Globe Sunday night. I know -500 is high, but this number will close probably around -800 or higher. Prediction: The Handmaid's Tale -500
Best Television Series - Musical or Comedy
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel -700
SMILF 9-1
Master of None 9-1
Will and Grace 15-1
Black-ish 15-1
(Last year winner: Atlanta, Odds - None) The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel is the talk around town, and I'm completely shocked that this show is -700 for Best Television Series. The only upset that I see could happen in this category is Will and Grace pulling off the upset, and boy would that be an upset. Prediction: The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel -700
Best Animated Motion Picture
Coco -1000
The Breadwinner +700
Loving Vincent 15-1
Ferdinand 20-1
Boss Baby 20-1
(Last year winner: Zootopia, Odds - None) Best Animated Motion Picture is a no-brainer and Coco should -10,000 or higher. Prediction: Coco -1000
Raphael Esparza is one of the best handicappers in all sports. This weekend Esparza will have plays in the NFL Wild Card weekend, NBA Basketball, NHL Hockey, College Basketball, soccer, and Monday night he will have a play in the College Football Championship game. Esparza kicked off College Bowl season going a perfect 5-0 and in the Fiesta Bowl in Arizona Esparza cashed his 8-Unit Bowl Game of the Year with Washington/Penn St going over the total. Esparza will have a play on the National Championship game and Esparza also has a big NFL Wild Card play on Sunday.
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