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2016 West Virginia Mountaineers Football Predictions and Season Win Total Picks

by - 8/16/2016

West Virginia Mountaineers quarterback Skyler Howard

2015 Record: 8-5

2016 Las Vegas Season Win Total: 6.5

2016 Season Win Total Picks NCAA Football: 'Under'

It seems like every fall Dana Holgorsen enters the college football season coaching for his job. He's been able to stay the execution each of the past two years. But Holgorsen hasn't been able to vault WVU into the top tier of the conference since the Mountaineers joined the Big 12 in 2012. At some point you have to wonder when WVU brass and boosters will pull the plug.

Holgorsen has a West Virginia team that is comparable to what he's fielded the past four seasons. The Mountaineers have most of the pieces, sans 1,500-yard rusher Wendell Small, back from last season's Top 25 offense. Senior Skyler Howard could be poised for a big step forward, and the Mountaineers have four starters back on an offense line that paved the way for the No. 16-ranked rushing attack in the nation.

But West Virginia has all kinds of problems on defense. WVU has just four starters back on that side of the ball, which had been a trouble spot in each of Holgorsen's first four seasons. The Mountaineers lost five of their top six tacklers (and nine of their top 13), and they will likely struggle in a big way on that side of the ball.

WVU surrendered over 33 points per game in 2012 and 2013 and bumbled to a 11-14 straight up (and 8-17 against the spread) record in those two seasons. They were able to get under 30 per game the past two years. But if they slide back above 30 points per game allowed this year I think it will mark The End for Holgorsen.

The Mountaineers are not good enough to compete for the Big 12 title. But they should play a big role in determining who does win the crown. WVU hosts TCU, Oklahoma and Baylor in Morgantown. That relentless home schedule means that the Mountaineers' "easier" games are on the road, which is a problem.

Holgorsen has held off the mob for a couple seasons now. But I think this is it. I think West Virginia is going to struggle to match last year's seven-win regular season. Two tough nonconference games (Missouri, BYU) don't help matters, and I think they were a better team with an easier schedule last year. I'm finally selling my WVU stock. Play 'under'.

2016 West Virginia Mountaineers Schedule - CLICK HERE

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