2016 Tennessee Titans Expert Predictions and Season Win Totals Picks

2016 Tennessee Titans Expert Predictions and Season Win Totals Picks

by Robert Ferringo - 9/9/2016

Tennessee Titans quarterback Marcus Mariota

2015 Record: 3-13

2016 Las Vegas Season Win Total: 6.0

2016 Season Win Total Prediction: 'Over'

The Titans have been one of my sleeper teams each of the past two seasons. And each of the past two seasons I have been wrong. They have gone a combined 5-27 the past two seasons. The combined total of those two years wouldn't even have been good enough to beat their season win total (5.5) for either of those seasons.

But I am not giving up! Maybe it is my stubbornness. Maybe I am a fool. But the fact is that Tennessee has been one of the biggest statistical underachievers in the NFL the past two seasons. And I think that a new coaching staff, a roster purge, and renewed optimism in the quarterback position after the dark Jake Locker years have this team poised for improvement.

Two years ago the Titans had an offensive yards per point (19.1) that was well beyond the league norm. That number alone usually predicts a bounce-back year. They improved (slightly) on that side of the ball last season, posting a still-weak 16.7. But that was negated by the worst defensive yards per point in the league (12.9). Again, that DYPP number was so far outside the norm that it is begging for a statistical regression this season. Add in the fact that the Titans came up nearly two games short of their Pythagorean Wins each of the past two seasons, and it really is amazing that this team has been as bad as it has.

Those are just numbers though. What do they mean on the field?

It means that I expect the Titans to be much better in all facets of the game, even if it is just accidentally better. Marcus Mariota is in his second season and showed a lot of promise. He is shackled with a young receiving corps (outside of newly-acquired Andre Johnson). But the Titans have an improving offensive line and a coach that is dedicated to running the ball at all cost.

Defensively, talent hasn't been the issue. Heart has. Maybe new coordinator Dick LeBeau can flesh something out of this group. But with high-end players like Jurrell Casey, Brian Orakpo and Jason McCourty, there is no reason that the Titans can't at least field a middle-of-the-pack defense.

I think that there are eight potential wins on this schedule. They won't get all eight. But they won't need to. I am following the numbers on this one. And every statistical indicator that I track says that the Titans will be much better than their expectations.

Then again, they said that last year too.

Titans Regular Season Schedule (All times EST)

WEEK	DATE	OPPONENT	TIME (ET)	Location	Result
1	Sun, Sep 11th, 2016	Minnesota	01:00 PM	Nissan Stadium
2	Sun, Sep 18th, 2016	at Detroit	01:00 PM	Ford Field
3	Sun, Sep 25th, 2016	Oakland	01:00 PM	Nissan Stadium
4	Sun, Oct 2nd, 2016	at Houston	01:00 PM	NRG Stadium
5	Sun, Oct 9th, 2016	at Miami	01:00 PM	New Miami Stadium
6	Sun, Oct 16th, 2016	Cleveland	01:00 PM	Nissan Stadium
7	Sun, Oct 23rd, 2016	Indianapolis	01:00 PM	Nissan Stadium
8	Thu, Oct 27th, 2016	Jacksonville	08:25 PM	Nissan Stadium
9	Sun, Nov 6th, 2016	at San_Diego	04:25 PM	Qualcomm Stadium
10	Sun, Nov 13th, 2016	Green_Bay	01:00 PM	Nissan Stadium
11	Sun, Nov 20th, 2016	at Indianapolis	01:00 PM	Lucas Oil Stadium
12	Sun, Nov 27th, 2016	at Chicago	01:00 PM	Soldier Field
13	Bye
14	Sun, Dec 11th, 2016	Denver	01:00 PM	Nissan Stadium
15	Sun, Dec 18th, 2016	at Kansas_City	01:00 PM	Arrowhead Stadium
16	Sat, Dec 24th, 2016	at Jacksonville	01:00 PM	EverBank Field
17	Sun, Jan 1st, 2017	Houston	01:00 PM	Nissan Stadium

Robert Ferringo is one of the top football handicappers in the country and tallied an unrivaled $20,800 in football profit between 2011 and 2015, including his amazing 2013 NFL season in which he hit 62.1 percent (95-58). Robert has produced 14 of 22 winning football months and an amazing 37 of 57 winning football months over the past decade. Robert has hit nearly 60 percent winners over his last 750 totals picks and is the most prolific big play football handicapper in the nation, going 101-63 (62%) on all football plays rated 5.0 or higher since 2010. Also, Robert's proprietary KING College Football Betting System has posted three of four winning seasons and is 122-92 over the last three years (57.0 percent).

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