2015 Record: 7-6
2016 Las Vegas Season Win Total: 7.0*
2016 Season Win Total Picks NCAA Football: 'Under'
I was one of the few football handicappers in the country that was buying into New Mexico last season. And they came through in a big way, posting their highest win total since 2007 and earning their first bowl bid of the decade. They pulled the upset of the year in college football, beating Boise State outright as a 31-point underdog, and cashed as a nine-point underdog while almost upsetting Arizona in the New Mexico Bowl.
Bob Davie will attempt to build on last year's success and keep New Mexico relevant in a league with an expanding second tier. The Lobos haven't had back-to-back winning seasons in over 10 years, and Davie would love to increase New Mexico's win total for the third season in a row.
New Mexico runs an option offense. But Davie actually ran less and passed more last year, and the result was a boost to 30 points per game. Davie has a three-year starter at quarterback in Lamar Jordan and an experienced lead back in Teriyon Gipson. The offensive line is in good shape with four senior starters (two three-year starters), and the Lobos have their top two wideouts returning.
Defensively is where I expect the Lobos to make hay. Last year they allowed 28.4 points per game, good for No. 28 in the country. That was the fewest points allowed in Albuquerque in a decade. The Lobos have 10 starters back, led by underrated Dakota Cox at middle linebacker, and talent at all three levels.
The Lobos need to get off to a fast start this year. And that means beating in-state rival New Mexico State for the fifth straight year (and 11 th time in 14 years). New Mexico opens Mountain West play with five of six games at home or at a neutral site, and they only have three true road games in league play. However, that doesn't make their schedule easy, and they can't take anything for granted.
New Mexico won four games by one score or less last year and two of their wins were by a single point. I think they will continue to improve under Davie. But I also think that if they suffer a four-game losing streak between the Rutgers and Air Force games I think it could rattle their confidence.
I think this bar is a little too high. I think 6.0 would've been a better number, so the value here is to play 'under'.
2016 New Mexico Lobos Schedule
|
DATE |
OPPONENT |
TIME (ET) |
Location |
Result |
|
Sat, Sep 3rd, 2016 |
South Dakota |
02:00 PM |
Branch Field |
|
|
Sat, Sep 10th, 2016 |
at New Mexico State |
08:00 PM |
Aggie Memorial Stadium |
|
|
Sat, Sep 17th, 2016 |
at Rutgers |
12:00 PM |
High Point Solutions Stad. |
|
|
Sat, Oct 1st, 2016 |
San Jose State |
04:00 PM |
Branch Field |
|
|
Fri, Oct 7th, 2016 |
Boise State |
09:00 PM |
Branch Field |
|
|
Sat, Oct 15th, 2016 |
Air Force |
01:00 PM |
Cotton Bowl |
|
|
Sun, Oct 30th, 2016 |
at Hawaii |
0:00 AM |
Hawaiian Airlines |
|
|
Sat, Nov 5th, 2016 |
Nevada |
02:00 PM |
Branch Field |
|
|
Sat, Nov 12th, 2016 |
at Utah State |
02:00 PM |
Merlin Olsen Field |
|
|
Sat, Nov 19th, 2016 |
at Colorado State |
02:00 PM |
Sonny Lubick Field |
|
|
Sat, Nov 26th, 2016 |
Wyoming |
02:00 PM |
Branch Field |
|
|
|
All Times EST
Robert Ferringo is one of the top football handicappers in the country and tallied an unrivaled $20,800 in football profit between 2011 and 2016, including his amazing 2013 NFL season in which he hit 62.1 percent (95-58). Robert has produced 14 of 22 winning football months and an amazing 37 of 57 winning football months over the past decade. Robert has eight of nine winning NFL preseasons and he is at nearly 60 percent winners over his last 750 totals picks. Also, Robert's proprietary KING College Football Betting System has posted three of four winning seasons and is 122-92 over the last three years (57.0 percent).
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