2016 Green Bay Packers Expert Predictions and Season Win Totals Picks

2016 Green Bay Packers Expert Predictions and Season Win Totals Picks

by Robert Ferringo - 9/1/2016

2015 Record: 10-6

2016 Las Vegas Season Win Total: 10.5

2016 Season Win Total Prediction: 'Over'

When is a 10-win regular season campaign, a postseason win, and a trip to the Divisional Round of the playoffs considered a failure? When you entered the season as the odds-on favorite to represent your conference in the Super Bowl.

The Packers have virtually the same team heading into 2016 as they had on the eve of 2015. Yes, Jordy Nelson is back from injury and that should give the offense the boost they were lacking. But it is essentially the same group. So whether you think that is a good thing or a bad thing depends on your perspective of what this team's realistic capabilities are.

Green Bay's point differential was just plus-45 last season. In 2013 it was -11, the second lowest of the Mike McCarthy era, and the team went 8-7-1 and in 2008 it was just plus-39 and they went 6-10. In a way, last year's team actually overachieved.

The Packers haven't been subtle about the focus of their offense for this season. They have run the ball an average of 40 times per game this preseason. Part of that was Aaron Rodgers sitting the first two games. But I believe part of it is McCarthy reading the landscape of the sport and understanding that the toughest teams with the best ground games are the ones ringing up titles these days.

As long as the Packers have Rodgers they have a chance. He is an all-time great but proved last year that even he needs some help. Nelson and Randall Cobb need to stay healthy for this attack to flourish.

I still think that the Packers are too soft defensively to be considered a true title threat. Their complete (and irrational) aversion to free agency has created a situation where their mediocre defense just refuses to get better. The secondary has some solid contributors. But Clay Matthews and aging Julius Peppers are probably the only two guys in the front seven that would make any other teams. That simply isn't enough.

I do, however, like the attitude that I've seen from the Pack this preseason. It is as if they realize that the throw-happy, outscore-your-opponent approach that got them their first title almost a decade ago is no longer viable in the NFC. If you want to win this conference you need to be physical and you need to be tough. I don't think they have the depth to make good on last year's title chances. But I do think that this team will be improved and that could mean 11 or 12 wins. Play 'over'.

Packers Regular Season Schedule (All Times Eastern)

WEEK	DATE	OPPONENT	TIME (ET)	Location	Result
1	Sun, Sep 11th, 2016	at Jacksonville	01:00 PM	EverBank Field
2	Sun, Sep 18th, 2016	at Minnesota	08:30 PM	U.S. Bank Stadium
3	Sun, Sep 25th, 2016	Detroit	01:00 PM	Lambeau Field
4	Bye
5	Sun, Oct 9th, 2016	Ny_Giants	08:30 PM	Lambeau Field
6	Sun, Oct 16th, 2016	Dallas	04:25 PM	Lambeau Field
7	Thu, Oct 20th, 2016	Chicago	08:25 PM	Lambeau Field
8	Sun, Oct 30th, 2016	at Atlanta	01:00 PM	Georgia Dome
9	Sun, Nov 6th, 2016	Indianapolis	04:25 PM	Lambeau Field
10	Sun, Nov 13th, 2016	at Tennessee	01:00 PM	Nissan Stadium
11	Sun, Nov 20th, 2016	at Washington	08:30 PM	FedEx Field
12	Mon, Nov 28th, 2016	at Philadelphia	08:30 PM	Lincoln Financial Field
13	Sun, Dec 4th, 2016	Houston	01:00 PM	Lambeau Field
14	Sun, Dec 11th, 2016	Seattle	04:25 PM	Lambeau Field
15	Sun, Dec 18th, 2016	at Chicago	01:00 PM	Soldier Field
16	Sat, Dec 24th, 2016	Minnesota	01:00 PM	Lambeau Field
17	Sun, Jan 1st, 2017	at Detroit	01:00 PM	Ford Field

Robert will be releasing his 2016 NFL Futures Picks on Thursday, Sept. 1. Robert will have a 6-Unit NFL Futures Play to go with his 8-Unit NCAA Futures Play and his last two top futures in college basketball and MLB were winners. Robert is one of the best futures players in the industry and he is 12-5 (71 percent) with his football futures rated 5.0 or higher. For more information visit his Insider's Page HERE.

Robert Ferringo is one of the top football handicappers in the country and tallied an unrivaled $20,800 in football profit between 2011 and 2016, including his amazing 2013 NFL season in which he hit 62.1 percent (95-58). Robert has produced 14 of 22 winning football months and an amazing 37 of 57 winning football months over the past decade. Robert has eight of nine winning NFL preseasons and he is at nearly 60 percent winners over his last 750 totals picks. Also, Robert's proprietary KING College Football Betting System has posted three of four winning seasons and is 122-92 over the last three years (57.0 percent).

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Pick:	CHICAGO BEARS +3
Start:	November 24, 2024 @ 1:00 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #256 Chicago Bears +3 over Minnesota Vikings (1p.m., Sunday, November 24 FOX) We used the Bears as a free play winner last Sunday and easily covered the spread and should have been an underdog outright winner. Now we will ride them for a second straight week against another NFC North rival, the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings are 8-2 on the season, yet are only around a field goal favorite. I still do not trust Sam Donald to win consistently over the course of a 17 game regular season. Minnesota is not as good as their 8-2 record would indicate and playing outdoors in Chicago on Sunday will cause issues for them on both sides of the ball. Chicago has been hit or miss this season, but they will be up to play another divisional rival and we expect them to take this down to the wire as well. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Card featuring top plays in college and NFL football. Read More Read Less

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