Tuesday offers MLB bettors a full slate of games with only one afternoon matinee taking place at Coors Field in Colorado. The night card offers up another edition of the Yankee-Red Sox rivalry. And with Luis "Gas Can" Severino taking the bump for the Yanks, the Red Sox are the definite play tonight. The Blue Jays will look to handle Tampa Bay again tonight to remain at least tied for the American League East lead, while the Baltimore Orioles look to bounce back in Oakland. Over in the NL, the Dodgers are still one game back of the Giants for first in the National League West after the Giants pulled out a gritty 8-7, 14-inning win against Miami last night. The playoff races are heating up, and we should be in for a treat the rest of the way!
These props are based on the First 5 Inning lines, and I have the utmost confidence in what I expect to happen. As always, odds and lines are courtesy of 5Dimes.
New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox
The New York Yankees are somewhat of a circus lately with all the trade deadline deals and distractions caused by Alex Rodriguez. The Yankees and Rodriguez announced on Sunday that he would be released after playing a final game at Yankee Stadium on Friday night. What an completely unneeded distraction for a team who up until the trade deadline was just a few games back of a wild-card spot.
The Yankees come into this game having alternated wins and losses for the past eight games. They won last time out against Cleveland on Aug. 7, which means they are due for a loss tonight. They will send Luis Severino to the bump, and to say Severino has been poor this season would be an understatement. The 22-year-old righty boasts a 1-6 record with a 6.02 ERA in 43.1 innings pitched. He's walked 13 and only struck out 37. He lost his last meeting with the Red Sox on May 8 in the Bronx and has been hit hard by David Ortiz. Ortiz owns three homeruns in five at bats off him.
The Red Sox definitely have the edge on the mound, especially when Rick Porcello takes the ball. Porcello is 14-3 overall and 10-0 in his 11 starts at Fenway Park. He is scheduled to start twice on this six-game homestand before the Sox head back on the road. Boston comes into this game after a 5-6 road trip that saw them split a series with the Angels, lose a series to the Mariners and lose a series to the Dodgers. The Sox remain very much in the thick of the AL East race and the wild-card race, which means these are the kind of games they can't afford to lose.
Pick: Boston Red Sox -0.5 - First 5 Innings (-115)
Arizona Diamondbacks @ New York Mets
I have made it a personal agenda to bet against Steve Matz in every game he pitches from here on out. Matz has been nothing short of garbage in his last 12 starts, posting a 4.54 ERA and a 1-7 record. His last outing was the roughest as he was touched up for six runs in six innings and took the loss against the Yankees.
Its not just Matz, though, the Mets as a team are playing some terrible baseball. They come into this game with just four wins in their last 12 games. Despite that and despite terrible offensive production, they sit only two games behind the Miami Marlins for the second wild-card spot in the National League. They face a tall task tonight as the Diamondbacks have activated Zack Greinke from the disabled list.
Greinke is 10-3 on the season with a 3.62 ERA, but that is more than twice as high as the 1.66 ERA he sported last year. He appeared to be rounding into peak form in June when he posted a 1.63 ERA in six starts before suffering a left oblique injury on June 28. He rehabbed on Wednesday for Triple-A Reno and gave up five runs in five innings. I am not worried because if you look back at previous rehab stints, they have always been really bad outings.
Pitching aside, if I had to trust a batting lineup with my life, I would choose the Diamondbacks because the Mutts, I mean Mets, always find a way to screw things up.
Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -0.5 - First 5 Innings (+145)
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