All-Sports Expert Betting Tips to Help Win Cash this Week 2/2/2016

by Dave Schwab - 2/2/2016

The Super Bowl is the most heavily-bet single-day sporting event of the year, and it presents bettors with one last chance to try and hit it big on football before the start of a long and lonely offseason. Winning sports bets on the Super Bowl is all about carving out that edge against the sportsbooks, especially when it comes to all the prop bets they have released for just this one game. There are bound to be a few props where the oddsmakers got it wrong, and now it is your job to find them among what appears to be an endless list of odds.

Doc's Sports' expert handicappers have made a very successful living by finding the inside edge for every selection they release, and when that edge is big enough it has led to some big-unit winners over the years. The easiest way to earn a good return on your sports bankroll is to simply pay for their picks. However, if you still decide to go it alone, then hopefully the following few betting tips for some upcoming action can help provide that inside edge that every bettor is looking for.

Panthers' Favorable Trends as Favorites

While the really big bucks bet on Super Bowl 50 will start to come in closer to kickoff next Sunday afternoon, the betting public appears to be jumping all over Carolina at most of the big online sportsbooks. The Panthers opened as four-point favorites against Denver when theSuper Bowl 50 line was first released, but it was immediately bet up to six points.

Recent betting trends according to Odds Shark have been favorable to Carolina this season when closing as a favorite with a record of 11-5 against the spread. If you break things down a bit more, you would find that the Panthers are 8-1 ATS in nine games when they closed as 4.5-point favorites or less. If you expand the spread to six points or less, they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games.

Balancing this out is the Broncos recent record as underdogs. They closed as underdogs in five games this season, and they went 4-0-1 ATS. If you go back to their last six games as underdogs, they went 5-1 straight up with a 5-0-1 record ATS.

The favorite has lost the last four Super Bowls SU, but when it comes to the AFC as a whole, that conference is just 11-20 SU and 10-20-1 ATS in the last 21 Super Bowls. The game will still be decided on the field at Levi's Stadium some time next Sunday night, but from a trend standpoint the slight edge would have to go to Carolina.

Hawks Continue to Payoff Big in the A-10

Sports bettors have a tendency to gravitate towards the major conferences and the Top 25 nationally-ranked teams when it comes to betting on college basketball, but there are some tremendous betting opportunities to be found all across the 32 conferences and the 351 teams that make-up Division IA college hoops.

Case in point this season has been the Atlantic-10's St. Joseph's Hawks. Heading into this Wednesday night's home game against St. Bonaventure, the Hawks have gone 18-3 SU with a profitable 14-6 record ATS. Going back to the start of conference play, they have really paid off for bettors with a 7-1 SU record while going 6-2 ATS in their first eight A-10 matchups. St. Joe's has also been paying off on the total line lately with six of its last seven games staying "under" the closing line.

Taking a closer look at some of the betting trends for the Hawks' next matchup against the Bonnies, they have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games played on a Wednesday, and they have gone 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine games played on their home court. Head-to-head, St. Joes has paid-off ATS in five of their last seven home games against St. Bonaventure.

On the court, the Hawks are averaging 74.9 points a game and shooting a very average 43.2 percent from the field, but they are third-highest rebounding team in the A-10 with 40 a game and they have held their opponents to just 57.6 points over their last five contests.

Making a Quick Buck on Stewart for Super Bowl 50

If you combined all the different Super Bowl 50 team and player prop bets released by all the major Las Vegas and offshore sportsbooks, the total number of betting opportunities would probably number in the thousands. The trick to making money on Super Bowl props is to try and find the ones where you think can make a quick buck.

One of the Super Bowl props that falls into this category in my book is for which player will have the most rushing yards. Carolina running back Jonathan Stewart has the best odds on the board at +115 on BetOnline's player prop list and they fall off from there with Denver's CJ Anderson listed next at +160. From there, they go to +500 for Cam Newton followed by +800 for the Broncos' Ronnie Hillman and +5000 for Panthers' running backs Mike Tolbert and Cameron Artis-Payne.

Stewart missed the last three regular-season games due to injury, but he quickly returned to form in the playoffs with 106 yards on 19 carries against Seattle and 83 yards on 19 carries in the win against Arizona. He was the eighth-leading rusher in the NFL this season with 989 total yards despite only starting 13 games. I have him graded as the best overall runner of any player on this list, but it also helps that Anderson (31 carries) and Hillman (27) basically spit Denver's rushing attempts in its two postseason games.

The other reason I like Stewart in this prop is how I see this game playing out. Carolina could very well be trying to sit on a lead in the second half by running the ball, which also works in my favor with Denver having to throw the ball to try and cut into that lead.

Start:	November 23, 2024 @ 3:30 PM
Expert:	Scott Spreitzer
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