Most betting tips should be taken in the context of being an educated guess at best, unless there is come definitive statistical information to back them up. While there is no guarantee that recent betting trends and game results will offer true insight into future results, they can go a long way towards helping you predict the outcome on an upcoming sporting event.
The expert handicappers at Doc's Sports break down daily matchup on a number of different levels and they offer their selections with a certain degree of confidence through the use of Doc's Unit Betting System. They also rely on finding that inside edge often times can end up being the difference between winning and losing your bet.
Parlaying the Moneyline and the Total Line with the Blues
Any team is going to be considered hot when they start winning a number of games in a row, but a truly hot betting team is one that is also cashing tickets on the total line at the same time. Turning to the ranks of the NHL, an interesting team in action on Monday night is the St. Louis Blues.
The Blues have been able to close the gap with Chicago to just two points for the top spot in the highly competitive Central Division on the strength of a five-game winning streak that is part of a profitable 7-2 run since the NHL All-Star break. They are now 35-17-9 in the midst of this run and 19-9-4 at home this season. Looking back at this five-game winning streak, the Blues have scored a total of 17 goals; however 11 of those goals came in two games. Defensively, they have only allowed 10 goals with three of the games ending in an identical 2-1 score.
This Monday night at the Scottrade Center in an 8 p.m. start, St. Louis will play host to San Jose as a -109 favorite on 5Dimes' NHL moneyline. The total for this game has been set at 5. The Blues have won five of their last seven home games as favorites. The total stayed "under" in four of their last five games at home with the fifth contest ending as a PUSH.
The Sharks are listed as slight -101 road underdogs for Monday night and they are coming off a 5-2 road loss to Carolina last Friday as -125 favorites. They have lost five of their last six Monday games and the total has stayed under in four of San Jose's last six games playing on two day's rest.
Virginia has Risen to the Occasion as Underdogs
The Virginia Cavaliers remain in the thick of the ACC regular season title race as one of the top men's college basketball teams in the nation. This team has been able to run its overall straight-up record to 21-5 behind the second-ranked defense in the nation when it comes to points allowed (59.5). This average has been whittled-down to just 51.5 points over their last six games while going 5-1 both SU and against the spread.
This Monday night in a crucial showdown against Miami as 1.5-point road underdogs as part of ESPN's Big Monday, the Cavaliers have an excellent opportunity to expand their winning streak against the Hurricanes to four games SU and to five games ATS. They also have a chance to extend their winning streak ATS as underdogs after covering in their last eight games when getting points.
Virginia has also gone a perfect 5-0 record ATS in their last five contests against a team with a SU winning record and it is 19-9-1 ATS in its last 29 road games against a team with a SU winning record at home. Head-to-head in this ACC tilt, the Cavaliers have been able to cover in four of their last five road games against Miami.
Going With NBA Teams Coming Off the Road
Playing on the road in the NBA is tough enough when it is a single game or two games in a row, but even the best teams in the league tend to really have their hands full when these road trips are extended to three or more games.
Just this past week we saw Golden State fall to Portland 137-105 as an eight-point road favorite in the second game of its current seven-game road trip even with a week-long All-Star break wedged between those first two contests. Every year, the San Antonio Spurs have to go on an extended road trip while the rodeo comes to town and upon returning from last week's All-Star break and in the midst of this season's eight-game road trip, they promptly lost to the Los Angeles Clippers 105-86 as one-point favorites.
The big question for bettors is how reliable has it been to go with an NBA team when it is coming off an extended road trip of three games or more. According to Covers, teams are 31-19 SU and 29-20-1 ATS in the first game at home following a three-game road trip this season. The records following a four-game road trip have the home team posting a 15-9 record SU while covering in 14 of those 24 games.
The best betting trends on the board are in a team's first game at home following a five-game road trip. They have won 71.4 percent of the time SU (10-4) while going 9-5 ATS for a 64.3 winning percentage. The overall record for a home team following a six-game road trip is 4-2 SU with an even 3-3 record ATS. There have been two games played by a home team following a seven-game road trip with a 1-1 result both SU and ATS and the home team won and covered once in its first game following an eight-game road trip.
Just as a matter of record, the Warriors will face Atlanta at home on March 1 when their seven-game trip wraps up and the Spurs will play host to Detroit on March 2 when the rodeo finally packs up and leaves town.
Read more articles by Dave Schwab
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