Docs Website

53 Years Strong! A Trusted Leader In Sports Picks, Best Bets and Predictions Since 1971.

Main Menu
NCAA Football Odds: Line Movements & Last-Minute News for Week 6

by - 10/9/2015

Navy Midshipmen quarterback Keenan Reynolds

We might see an NCAA record broken this weekend in South Bend. Navy senior quarterback Keenan Reynolds has 73 career rushing touchdowns, five shy of breaking former Wisconsin star Montee Ball's FBS record of 77, which means there is an outside chance Reynolds could tie or set the record against Notre Dame on Saturday. Obviously Reynolds will break that eventually as well as Ball's record of 83 total touchdowns.

Navy (4-0) is no pushover and could earn the Group of 5's berth in a New Year's Six bowl with an upset of the Irish. The toughest games left after this for the Midshipmen, in their first season in the American Athletic Conference, would figure to be Nov. 7 at Memphis and Nov. 27 at Houston. Should Navy be unbeaten following that Houston game, it could cause a major headache for the College Football Playoff committee. That's because as usual Navy closes the year with Army, this season on Dec. 12. The committee normally would announce its four playoff teams and fill out the other New Year's Six bowls on Dec. 6, after conference championship Saturday. The committee asked if the Army-Navy game could be moved in case one those schools was ever in consideration for a major bowl, but the schools said no way (as they should have). Playoff chairman Bill Hancock now has said that if Navy is in consideration, the committee will delay its announcements until after the Army-Navy game.

Notre Dame is a 14.5-point favorite for Saturday (opened at -14); it's an interesting matchup for the Irish as they already have played and beaten one triple-option team this year in Georgia Tech. That would seem to be a pretty big advantage. The Irish won 49-39 at Navy last year. Reynolds had two TDs in that one.

Here's some news, notes and any line moves for some of Saturday's games around the country, in no particular order.

South Carolina at No. 7 LSU (-19.5): If you were going to take LSU at -12.5 when this line first opened, I hope you jumped quickly on it. Why has it grown so much? Because this game was supposed to be played at South Carolina but has been moved to Baton Rouge because of flooding in the Columbia area that has wiped out roads and such. Obviously that's a huge break for LSU, which lost a home game in Week 1 when its season opener against McNeese State was canceled due to weather. USC will lose almost $4 million with losing this game. But in a classy move, LSU will donate all profits from its ticket sales back to South Carolina. In addition, the LSU band is learning USC's fight song and alma mater and will play them at the game. The American Red Cross will be on hand to collect bottles of water which it will then ship back to the Palmetto State. Can Leonard Fournette rush for 200 yards for a fourth straight game? USC is allowing 170.0 rushing yards per game.

No. 19 Georgia at Tennessee (+3): I loved this when it was Georgia giving 2.5 but now I'm not as sure. The Vols are in a crazy three-game losing streak against FBS teams, blowing double-digit leads in each. There have been only 17 games all season in which an FBS team lost after leading by at least 13 points. UT has three of them. Do you know how close Butch Jones' club is to being 5-0 and in the Top 10 instead of 2-3 and 0-2 in the SEC? The Vols dismissed projected starting receiver Pig Howard this week for a violation of team rules. But he had barely played this year due to injury and another suspension. Georgia is still licking its wounds from being dominated at home last week by Alabama. For sure UT is out of the SEC East race with a loss here. Georgia nearly will be so with one -- especially if unbeaten Florida wins at Missouri on Saturday. The Dawgs have won five straight in the series, but the past two have been very close.

Arkansas at No. 8 Alabama (-16.5): Interesting tidbit here: the Tide have yet to cover in three home games this season. Might this be a bit of a letdown game after that big win over Georgia last week and with the Hogs a disappointment in the SEC West? Plus Bama has a tough one next week at No. 9 Texas A&M. I truly thought the Razorbacks could contend in the West but they rank last in the SEC in total defense against Power 5 opponents, giving up 7.24 yards per play (No. 111 in FBS). The Hogs have lost eight straight in the series but should have won last year, falling 14-13.

No. 3 Baylor at Kansas (+44): Not much to say here other than it's the biggest spread on the board by far. This could be ugly. KU lost by 25 to lousy Iowa State last week, probably the only chance the Jayhawks had at a win in 2015. And now due to injury, they are starting a freshman QB here. Baylor has outscored foes 255-104 and leads the FBS in victory margin (37.8). It goes against a Kansas defense that ranks No. 122 among FBS teams in points per drive allowed (3.04) and yards per play allowed (6.94). Bears might cover by halftime.

No. 4 Michigan State at Rutgers (+13.5): This line has dropped from 17. The main reason might be the Rutgers has reinstated star receiver Leonte Carroo from his suspension on Wednesday and he will play. He had assault charges against him dropped Tuesday. A first-team All-Big Ten receiver last year, Carroo has seven catches for 181 yards and three touchdowns in two games this season. Carroo missed the first half of the season opener as he served a suspension for violating team curfew during training camp. But mainly, Michigan State hasn't looked very good since beating Oregon and might be looking ahead to next week's showdown at Michigan.

Doc's Sports is offering a great deal for new clients - you can get $60 worth of free college football picks with no obligation. No credit card is needed, and you will never have to deal with a salesman. See what all the hype is about with $60 worth of free college football picks by clicking here . Also, get three handicappers for the price of one when you sign up for a full-season football package! Click Here for details.

Read more articles by

Most Recent College Football Handicapping

One E-mail A Week Is All You Need!
Our weekly newsletter is loaded with exclusive free picks,insight and advice from our expert handicappers