MLB Series Odds with Expert Picks and Predictions 8/3/2015

by Dave Schwab - 8/3/2015

It is a new week of baseball as the division and wild-card races continue to heat up with the August weather. BetOnline has released its series prices for this week's action starting on Monday, and as usual you can find some solid value in the MLB betting odds when you start digging a bit deeper into the individual matchups both at the plate and on the mound.

The following are my top three bets to cash in this week's best-of-three series price betting odds as provided by BetOnline

San Diego Padres (+100) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (-120)

San Diego comes into this series on a bit of a hot streak with seven victories in their last nine games, including series wins against the New York Mets and Miami on the road this past week. The Padres will actually play four games against the Brewers this week to wrap up this 10-game road trip. They come into Monday's Game 1 as slight -108 road favorites with Tyson Ross on the mound, and they are 4-1 in his last five road starts. Ian Kennedy will get the start on Wednesday, and he has allowed just five earned runs over his last three starts.

The Brewers have now lost five straight and 10 of 12 after getting swept by the Chicago Cubs at home this past weekend. Over the 12-game slide the lineup has scored a grand total of 25 runs, and that slump could easily continue against some of San Diego's better starters. Milwaukee will go with Wily Peralta as its starter for Monday's series opener, and it is 2-6 in his last eight starts as an underdog. Giving the Padres the win in this opening matchup as slight favorites adds some great value to their series odds as slight road underdogs. Stick with San Diego in this one.

Baltimore Orioles (-120) vs. Oakland Athletics (+100)

The Orioles are 7-2 in their last nine outings ever since getting swept on road by the New York Yankees in three straight losses a couple of weeks ago. They head back on the road for this series with a 2-6 record in their last eight games against the AL West. Baltimore has been listed as a slight +105 road underdog for Monday's opener with Tyler Wilson as its starter, and it is 1-4 in Game 1 of its last five series. The Orioles will turn to Miguel Gonzalez for Game 2 and Wei-Yin Chen on Wednesday afternoon. These two have allowed a combined 11 earned runs in their last two starts.

Oakland is buried in the basement of the AL West at 47-59, but it did manage to earn a 2-2 split against Cleveland at home this past weekend by winning the final two games of that series by a combined score of 7-2. The Athletics will turn to Jesse Chavez to try and win a third straight game for the first time since late June. He has allowed four or more earned runs in half of his last 10 starts. Chris Bassitt will be on the mound on Tuesday, and Kendall Graveman should get the start in Wednesday's finale. Oakland has won its last four home games as a favorite, and it is 18-8 in its last 26 games as a favorite with Chavez on the mound. I am going to take the even-money odds on the A's in this series based on them getting that first win on Monday night.

Cleveland Indians (+100) vs. Los Angeles Angels (-120)

The Indians stay on the West Coast for three more games this week following the split against the A's. They are now 5-3 in their last eight road games as part of an overall road record of 28-24 this year. They have been listed as +108 underdogs for Monday night's opener, with Corey Kluber getting the start. Cleveland will turn to Carlos Carrasco and Danny Salazar in the next two games. Salazar was rock-solid his last time out with no earned runs on just one hit through eight full innings.

Los Angeles has cooled considerably since going on a tear for most of July. This past weekend it was swept by the Los Angeles Dodgers on the road 0-3 after dropping three straight to Houston on the road last week in a crucial showdown in the AL West. The Angels return home with an 11-4 record in their last 15 home games, and they are 6-1 in Garrett Richards last seven starts in Game 1 of a new series. They should also have a favorable matchup on Tuesday with Matt Shoemaker on the mound. He has not allowed an earned run in his last 13 innings pitched. I am banking on Los Angeles regaining their form this week against a Cleveland team that is starting to ride out the string.

Start:	November 23, 2024 @ 10:07 PM
Expert:	Vernon Croy
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