MLB Series Odds with Expert Picks and Predictions 8/10/2015

by Dave Schwab - 8/10/2015

A few new MLB series get underway this Monday night. In addition to betting on the individual games, you should also take a closer look at the series prices that BetOnline has released for the entire week of action. Once you start digging a bit deeper into the individual matchups, especially on the mound, you can oftentimes find quite a bit of value in the MLB series price betting odds.

The following are my top three bets to cash in this week's best-of-three series price betting odds as provided by BetOnline.

Los Angeles Angels (-110) vs. Chicago White Sox (-110)

The Angels come into this week's matchup fresh off back-to-back 2-1 series wins against both Cleveland and Baltimore at home, but the big concern heading into Chicago has to be a 0-6 record in their last six road games. Overall, Los Angeles is -$563 this season on BetOnline's moneyline odds as a result of a road record of 23-28. The Angels could actually have the edge in Monday's Game 1 as +121 road underdogs with Matt Shoemaker on the mound. He has not allowed an earned run in his last three starts.

Chicago has now lost eight of its last 10 games after getting swept by Kansas City on the road in three straight losses this past weekend. The White Sox have faded to 51-58 on the year, and they are an even 26-26 at home this season. Their pitchers have gotten bounced around pretty good during this slide, and I do have some legitimate concerns with Chris Sale getting the start on Monday night. He has been shelled for 20 earned runs over his last four starts, which could get this series off to a poor start. John Danks is the expected starter for Wednesday's Game 3, and his inconsistency over his last three starts tips the scale in the Angels' favor as my pick to win this series.

Cincinnati Reds (+125) vs. San Diego Padres (-145)

Cincinnati continues to ride out the string in what has been a very disappointing season. The Reds have just one win in their last five games after dropping two of three to Arizona on the road this past weekend. They are 4-7 in their last 11 road games as part of an overall road record of 21-34. David Holmberg has taken Johnny Cueto's spot in the starting rotation, which is a major downgrade, and Tuesday's starter Michael Lorenzen is sporting a 4.84 ERA after suffering through a few rough outings.

The Padres have been listed as -143 favorites for Monday's series opener as they try and snap a six-game skid that includes a dismal three-game sweep at the hands of lowly Philadelphia in their home park this past weekend. They will have Ian Kennedy on the mound for Monday night, and James Shields is scheduled to be on the mound in Wednesday's series finale. Current form does not instill a ton of confidence in San Diego right now. However, on the pitching matchups alone in this series, I would still go with a small play on the Padres to win this series.

Baltimore Orioles (-105) vs. Seattle Mariners (-115)

Push is starting to turn to shove for Baltimore down this season's stretch. The Orioles have made up little ground in the AL East the last few weeks with a 5-5 record in the last 10 games, including the 2-1 series loss to the Angels this past weekend. They are now 56-54 on the year, which has them five games back in the division race and three games back in the wild card race. This could be a good week to squeeze out a few wins with Wei-Yin Chen, Chris Tillman and Kevin Gausman penciled in as the starters in this series. Baltimore comes in as a -121 road favorite for Game 1, and I like Tillman's chances on Tuesday night after allowing just one earned run over his last three starts.

Seattle took two of three from Texas at home this past weekend after wrapping up a recent seven-game road trip against Minnesota and Colorado with a record of 4-3. The Mariners are 52-60 on the year, and their moneyline return on a home record of 24-32 is -$1,352, so right off the bat there is some solid value in Baltimore's series price. They will go with Vidal Nuno on Monday night in his second start of the season. I also have Seattle on the wrong end of Tuesday's pitching matchup with Taijuan Walker getting the start. He has allowed three or more earned runs in five of his last six starts. Stick with the slightly better series price on the Orioles this week.

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Start:	November 23, 2024 @ 10:07 PM
Expert:	Vernon Croy
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