MLB Series Odds with Expert Picks and Predictions 5/4/2015

by Dave Schwab - 5/4/2015

The new MLB regular season has turned the page to the month of May, and there are a whole new set of series getting underway this Monday night. I would have to say that the majority of bettors prefer to spend their efforts looking for solid plays for the individual games. However, often times you can some solid value in betting on the odds that many sportsbooks will release for a three-game series price in a particular matchup.

After pouring over the facts and figures for the start of all the new three-game matchups, I have been able to uncover my three "best bets" for Bovada's series price moneyline odds.

Arizona Diamondbacks (+125) vs. Colorado Rockies (-155)

Arizona has just two wins in its last nine games, and it is coming off a three-game sweep at the hands of the Los Angeles Dodgers this past weekend. During this current slide, it has scored a grand total of 31 runs in those nine games, but 21 of them came in the two victories. Ironically enough, this was part of a 2-1 series win against the Rockies at home last week. From a defensive standpoint, the Diamondbacks have allowed an average of 4.45 runs during this same stretch of games.

Colorado followed up the series loss to Arizona by losing three straight games this weekend to San Diego on the road. During this current five-game losing streak, the Rockies have allowed an average of 9.4 runs a game while scoring a total of just 17 runs, so it is pretty safe to say that this week's series against the Diamondbacks is not going to be about pitching. That being said, I am going with hotter bats to prevail over the three games with a play on Arizona's favorable +125 odds in this series.

Seattle Mariners (+105) vs. Los Angeles Angels (-135)

I went against Seattle in this past weekend's extended series against the red-hot Houston Astros and it paid off with four straight losses after sweeping Texas for three straight wins in its previous series. The big question is where the Mariners go from here as a model of inconsistency in the early going of a new season. The Angels are coming off three straight losses to San Francisco in this past weekend's interleague matchup.

The Mariners opened things up this year with a 2-1 series loss to Los Angeles at home, and heading into Monday's Game 1 of this series on the road they are listed as -135 favorites with Felix Hernandez on the mound as their starter. The Angels will counter with Matt Shoemaker. I would have to give the sizable edge to Seattle in this matchup with Hernandez (4-0) boasting a 1.82 ERA in his first five starts. Shoemaker, on the other hand as been knocked around pretty good with an ERA of 6.0 in four previous outings. Along with this significant edge in Game 1 on the mound, I also like the fact that the Mariners are 5-2 in the last seven meetings, so this time around I am going with them in the series bet.

San Diego Padres (+105) vs. San Francisco Giants (-135)

The Padres will open this series as +115 road underdogs for Monday night's Game 1 with the moneyline odds on San Francisco set at -135. Back in early April, they actually took three out of four from their NL West Division rivals at home to gain the early season edge. Surprisingly enough, San Diego leads the National League in runs scored through its first 26 games with 131. The problem has been its vaunted pitching staff's 4.03 team ERA through the same stretch of games.

The Giants are now a game and half behind San Diego for second place in the division standings following their three-game sweep of the Angels, and they will lead off this series with Madison Bumgarner on the mound. The left-hander was rock solid his last time out by holding the NL West-leading Los Angeles Dodgers to just one run on eight hits in eight full innings of work, so I am giving the Game 1 edge in this series to San Francisco. I am also going with the Giants to win this three-game series given that the home team in this matchup is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.

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Start:	November 23, 2024 @ 3:30 PM
Expert:	Scott Spreitzer
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