Free NFL Betting Picks: Odds and Predictions for Football Player Props

by Dave Schwab - 9/2/2015

Just in time for the start of a new season of NFL games, BetOnline has ramped up its team and player prop betting odds for a number of different categories. While you can bet on which NFL quarterback you think will throw for the most yards in the regular season, it has recently added the moneyline betting odds for the "over/under" on their total passing yards and/or touchdown throws for 2015.

Drew Brees (New Orleans)- 4,475.5 Yards (Over -130/Under +100)

Brees will be entering his 15^th season in the NFL, with most of his storied career being played in New Orleans. He has joined the ranks of football royalty for being one of the most prolific passers in NFL history. Therefore, the big question in these betting odds is if a downturn in sight for 2015.

Going back over his last five seasons, Brees has thrown for more than 4,600 yards all five times. He set a single-season NFL passing record in 2011 with a total of 5,476 yards. And even with the Saints going just 7-9 last season, he was tied for the lead in the league with 4,952 passing yards. Consistency has to stand for something, and I would like to think that he has another 4,600+ yard season in him this year as well.

Ben Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh)- 30.5 Touchdown Passes (Over -120/Under -110)

The quarterback that was tied with Brees for most passing yards last season was Big Ben. He also added 32 touchdown throws, which was seventh on the list. Over the course of his 11-season career with the Steelers, this was just the second time he crossed the 30-touchdown threshold despite throwing for 4,000 yards or more four times.

The good news is that Roethlisberger has been on an upward swing the past three seasons with 26 touchdowns in 2012, followed by 28 TD throws in 2013. Wide Receiver Antonio Brown accounted for 13 of the 32 last season, and he is at the top of most experts list to once again lead the NFL in receiving yards. The Steelers also have a solid weapon out of the backfield catching ball in Le'Veon Bell, and wide receiver Martavis Bryant came into his own last season with eight touchdown catches. This all adds up to another big season for Big Ben with a play on the "over" 30.5 in this prop.

Andrew Luck (Indianapolis)- 4750.5 Passing Yards (Over -135/Under +105)

Just about every football expert is wondering what is next for the top young quarterback in the league. Through his first three seasons in the NFL after getting drafted first overall by the Colts in 2012, Luck lived up to all the hype from Day 1. He has led his team to 11 wins in all three seasons and to the brink of the Super Bowl with a trip to last season's AFC title game.

Along the way, he has thrown for 4,374 yards his rookie year, 3,822 yards in 2013 and his 4,761 yards was third-best in the NFL behind Brees and Roethlisberger. The scary thing about the Colts this season is the addition of veteran free agent Andre Johnson and first-round pick Phillip Dorsett to an already-talented receiving corps. TY Hilton has emerged as a stud with 82 catches in each of his last two seasons of a three-year career in the NFL, and overall Indianapolis was ranked first in the league in total passing yards in 2014. I am looking for Luck to get his team to the next level with a trip to Super Bowl 50 and along the way throw for more than 4,800 yards in the regular season.

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