Success when betting on sports is all about gaining an inside edge on the set betting odds in any game or event that tips the value in your favor. The odds are normally set to work against the betting public, so any time you can uncover one of these inside edges it usually pays to go with a heavy-unit play to try and capitalize on this added value.
Doc's Sports has spent the last 44 years helping sports bettors just like yourself gain that inside edge and then capitalize on it with the use of their Unit Betting System as an excellent money management tool. The following are a few of this week's expert betting tips that feature a potential edge that should hopefully tip the scales in your favor for a big play in these upcoming sporting events.
Going Against the Home Team
When it comes to betting on the NBA, home-court advantage can sometimes be a huge factor in helping to level the playing field when a better road team comes to town. Even some of the worse teams in the league tend to put up a much harder fight in front of the hometown crowd.
That has not been the case with the Minnesota Timberwolves in the early part of this season. Overall, they are 8-12 straight up through their first 20 games, and against the spread their record goes to 10-9-1. When it comes to winning SU at home they are just 2-9 against a healthy 6-3 SU record in nine road games. When it comes to betting on the Timberwolves at home, their ATS record falls to 1-9-1 as opposed to a perfect 9-0 start ATS in those nine previous road games.
This Wednesday night Minnesota will play host to the woeful Los Angeles Lakers as a 6.5-point home favorite at 5Dimes. The Lakers have the dubious distinction of losing a road game against Philadelphia last week as one-point underdogs, so while you may be hesitant to go against the Timberwolves in this matchup, the betting trends dictate it could still be the best bet.
Somebody Has to Win
Heading into Week 14 of the NFL regular season, the most heated division race on the board is in the NFC East with a three-way tie for the lead followed by Dallas at just one game back. The problem is that the four teams combined have fewer than 20 SU wins on the year. The way the NFL rules are set, one of these teams will still make it into the playoffs by outlasting the other three for the division crown even if they all have losing records.
Following Washington's 19-16 loss to the Cowboys on Monday night, it joins New York and Philadelphia at 5-7. Right now the Redskins own the tiebreaker over the Eagles and Giants, and Bovada's futures that Washington goes on to win the NFC East are currently set at +300. The 4-8 Cowboys' betting odds to win the division title are +300 as well.
Both Philadelphia and New York are now +225 co favorites to win the NFC East, and everything could all come down to that Week 17 showdown between the two bitter rivals at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, Jan. 3.
Given the way all four of these teams have played this season, I would probably take the Eagles to back into the postseason at 8-8 or even 7-9 as division champs. They have the easiest remaining schedule, and three of their four games are at home.
Riding the Red-Hot Chiefs
Very few (if any) NFL experts gave Kansas City much of a chance to make the playoffs this season following a dismal 1-5 straight up start, and bettor's jumped off that bandwagon as well after the Chiefs failed to cover in five of those six games.
Starting with a huge 23-13 victory over Pittsburgh in late-October as a three-point home favorite, Kansas City has been on a tear with six victories in a row both SU and ATS. The offense is firing on all cylinders behind quarterback Alex Smith with an average of 32.3 points a game during this run, and the Chiefs' defense has only allowed an average of 13.3 points during this same stretch.
One of the six wins was a 33-3 romp against the San Diego Chargers in Week 11 with Kansas City closing as a three-point road favorite. This Sunday it will complete the season series in this AFC West tilt as an 11.5-point favorite at home. The Chiefs have covered in four of the last five meetings against the Chargers, and it is hard to see them taking their foot off the gas on Sunday afternoon.
The Kings are Starting to Light the Lamp
When it comes to NHL powers, the Los Angeles Kings immediately come to mind with Stanley Cup runs in 2011-12 and 2013-14. That is why it was quite a surprise to hockey bettors to see them stumble out of the gate this season with three straight losses. The Kings quickly turned things around with a seven-game winning streak, but most of this season's success can be attributed to a defense that has the second-best goals-against average in the league at 2.1 and a goalie named Jonathan Quick.
Los Angeles is currently 18-8-1 on the year following its current five-game winning streak, and during this run it has scored three or more goals in four of those games. On the year, the Kings are still ranked just 15th in the NHL in scoring with 2.6 goals a game, but if they can stay hot on both ends of the ice this could be a great team to go with right now heading into an extended six-game road trip through the Eastern Conference.
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Read more articles by Dave Schwab
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