When it comes to betting on sports, you should always look for opportunities where you can uncover an edge that tips the scales on the betting odds in your favor. Beating the sportsbooks on a consistent basis is a tall task to say the least given just how sharp the betting lines are these days, so you need to have the discipline to pick and choose your spots along the way.
Doc's Sports Service has been helping sports bettors just like yourself find that edge for the past 44 years as a leader in the sports handicapping industry. Turning to a few of the upcoming betting events on the board right now, the following is a brief look at this week's top insider betting tips that can help fatten your bankroll with a few timely plays.
A High Risk/Reward Return
Going chalk is a rather common strategy when it comes to betting on sports, but what about the times when the risk/reward on a betting moneyline starts to get really high? While there is no such thing as a "lock" when it comes to betting on anything, MMA superstar Ronda Rousey is about as close as it gets.
Looking back at her closing moneyline odds with Bovada for her past 10 fights as a clear favorite, they have ranged from -360 in her win in UFC 170 against Sara McMann to -1400 in her most recent bout in UFC 190 against Bethe Correia. Rousey is a perfect 10-0 during this run, and her bouts have lasted from 4:49 minutes on the high end to as little as 14 seconds. Of the 10 fights, the Bantamweight Champion has closed out seven of the bouts in less than a minute.
When you total up all of the closing moneylines on Bovada's MMA board for these 10 fights, you would have had to risk $6,340 to win $1,000, but you would have a $1,000 in your pocket. Rousey's next fight is scheduled for Saturday, Nov. 14 in UFC 193 against Holly Holm. She has been listed as a -1400 favorite with Holm listed as a +750 underdog.
Winning Next Year's Fall Classic
Kansas City Royals fans were still partying in the streets when Bovada released its MLB futures odds to win next season's World Series. You would have to go all the way back to 2000 to find the last time a team repeated as world champions when the New York Yankees pulled off the three-peat with a 4-1 series win, ironically enough against the New York Mets.
To me, that drains a bit of the value in the Royals' odds to repeat in a group with the Mets, Dodgers, Cardinals, Blue Jays and Nationals as +1200 second-favorites. The top favorite on the board is the Chicago Cubs at +1000, but that curse appears to be alive and well after getting swept in the NLCS.
My pick would be the San Francisco Giants at +2000. They have won the World Series every other season since 2010 with additional title runs in 2012 and 2014, so you would have to believe they are due in 2016.
Mid-Major Moneymakers
The majority of the betting public gravitates towards the major conferences when it comes to betting on college football, especially in a week like this when there a number of high-profile showdowns on the slate. The problem with games of this nature is that betting lines are bound to be razor-sharp.
Most weeks you can find a few golden opportunities to cash in on games that may have slipped through the cracks with the oddsmakers since they fall into the ranks of the Mid-Majors. A good starting point to uncover these gems is to handicap the games involving teams that you could have banked on all season long.
The AAC currently has three teams ranked to the latest AP Top 25, with the 8-0 Memphis Tigers at No. 15 followed by the 8-0 Houston Cougars at No. 18 and the 7-1 Temple Owls at No. 23. You could also throw the Navy Midshipmen into the mix with a straight up record of 6-1. With the exception of the Tigers at 4-3-1 against the spread, you could have made a small fortune betting the other three teams this season given their combined record of 17-6 ATS.
As far as this week's games, the top play could be the Cougars as 8.5-point home favorites against Cincinnati. Houston is 5-2 this season ATS as a favorite, and it will be looking for revenge after losing its last five games against the Bearcats SU.
The Next Axe to Fall
In the old days NFL owners would normally wait until the end of the season to fire their team's head coach, but the patience level these days to produce winners is obviously paper thin. Miami former head coach, Joe Philbin, did not make it past Week 4 before he was replaced by Dan Campbell following the Dolphins dismal 1-3 start.
On Tuesday, Tennessee head coach Ken Whisenhunt was shown the door and replaced by Mike Mularkey for the rest of the season after the Titans stumbled to a 1-6 record in their first seven games. The Titans were coming off just two wins in 2014 to land the top pick in the draft, so the fact that Whisenhunt got canned before the halfway point of the season gives you a pretty good idea of just how thin that patience level really is.
Bovada has yet to recalculate its betting odds for which head coach gets the axe next, but conventional wisdom points to Jacksonville's Gus Bradley given that he was the top favorite on the previous board.
Bradley's odds to be fired on Oct. 21 were set at +350, followed by Detroit Lions' coach Jim Caldwell and Whisenhunt at +400. Bradley is in the third season of a total rebuild in Jacksonville and considered to be heading in the wrong direction. During his tenure with the team, the Jaguars won three games in 2013 and four games last season before getting off to a 2-5 start this year.
Read more articles by Dave Schwab
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