NBA Odds and Predictions: Wednesday, December 10 Opening Line Report and Handicapping
by Alan Matthews - 12/9/2014
So, Golden State ownership is looking rather smart right now for getting rid of successful head coach Mark Jackson and replacing him this offseason with Steve Kerr, who had zero coaching experience. The Warriors are a sick 18-2, making Kerr the second coach in NBA history to win 18 of his first 20 games. The other was Al Cervi of the 1949-50 Syracuse Nationals, and that team finished 51-13 and reached the NBA Finals. Kerr is your clear Coach of the Year favorite. The Warriors go for their 14th straight win Wednesday. Here's a look at every game.
Clippers at Pacers (+6, 199)
This is how ridiculous the Western Conference is. The Clippers have won eight straight, but they entered play Tuesday as just the sixth seed in the conference despite a 15-5 record. The Clips have scored at least 102 points in each of those eight wins. They beat Phoenix 121-120 in overtime on Monday on Blake Griffin's 3-point buzzer-beater (his first career buzzer-beater to win). Yes, Blake Griffin from long range. He was awesome overall with a season-high 45 points. It was the Clippers' closest game after winning their previous five by an average of 21.4 points. Starting L.A. guard Jordan Farmer remained out with back spasms and is questionable here. The Pacers have lost five straight and were routed 108-92 at home by Atlanta on Monday. The Pacers recently were hit by another injury as big man Ian Mahinmi tore his left plantar fascia so he's obviously out a while.
Key trends: The Clippers are 1-4 ATS in the past five meetings. The "over/under" has gone over in five of the past six.
Early lean: Clippers and over.
Wizards at Magic (TBA)
Washington has won five of six and was dragged into double OT on Monday by Boston after blowing a 23-point lead. Washington big man Nene was a late scratch with a sore right knee so he's questionable here. The Magic are on their third two-game winning streak of the year but have yet to make it to three. Star center Nikola Vucevic has been out since Nov. 30 with a lower back strain, and it would be an upset if he plays Wednesday. Washington has beaten Orlando twice this season, including 105-98 in central Florida.
Key trends: Washington is 10-4 ATS in its past 14 vs. teams with a losing record. The under is 5-1 in Orlando's past six.
Early lean: TBA because of the two big men. Washington will win outright.
Celtics at Hornets (-3, 205.5)
Boston's season-high three-game winning streak ended in that 133-132 double-overtime loss in Washington on Monday night. The C's blew a seven-point lead in the second OT. Rookie Marcus Smart had a career-high 23 points. Rajon Rondo was scoreless in just under 21 minutes of action. Charlotte has been off since ending a 10-game losing streak last Friday in a 103-102 victory over the Knicks. It's possible that Hornets forward Michael Kidd-Gilchrist plays in this one for the first time since Nov. 11 due to a foot injury. This is the first meeting of the season between the teams.
Key trends: The under is 6-2 in the past eight meetings. Charlotte has covered one of its past 11 vs. teams with a losing record.
Early lean: Boston and over.
76ers at Hawks (-12.5, 202)
Guessing you would be surprised if I told you that Atlanta is tied for the second-best record in the Eastern Conference. The Hawks enter on a seven-game winning streak. Have they beaten a very good team in that run? No. But the Hawks largely have been blowing the opponents out. The winning streak is Atlanta's longest since the 2009-10 season. The 76ers are showing signs of life in winning two of its past three, both on the road. Leading scorer Tony Wroten is expected to return after missing five straight games with an injury. He likely will come off the bench, however.
Key trends: The road team is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings. The over is 9-3 in Atlanta's past 12 vs. teams with a losing record.
Early lean: Take the points and go over.
Knicks at Spurs (TBA)
Second of a back-to-back for both clubs as the Knicks were in New Orleans on Tuesday and the Spurs in Salt Lake City. Thus you never know what Gregg Popovich will do here or if the Knicks will play Amare Stoudemire in both games. New York is 1-4 on the backend of back-to-backs this season. Amazingly, the Knicks have won two straight games in San Antonio.
Key trends: The Knicks are 9-2 ATS in their past 11 vs. teams with a winning record. The over is 4-1 in the past five meetings.
Early lean: Too many intangibles right now.
Nets at Bulls (TBA)
One of the most perplexing statistics thus far in the NBA season is that Chicago is an excellent 10-3 on the road but just 2-5 at home. The Bulls will be well rested for this one, so everyone should be playing as they last played Saturday at home and lost 112-102 to Golden State. Taj Gibson returned from missing six games in that one and had 12 points and seven rebounds in 19 minutes. Brooklyn has lost two straight, both by double digits at home. The Nets played without starting center Brook Lopez and guard Joe Johnson in Monday's defeat to Cleveland. Lopez won't play here, but Johnson could. The Nets lost 102-84 at home to Chicago on Nov. 30.
Key trends: The favorite is 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings. The under is 4-0 in the past four.
Early lean: Bulls should win easily.
Trail Blazers at Timberwolves (+12, 209)
Portland played in Detroit on Tuesday night. The Wolves have lost six straight and probably are the worst team in the West right now with so many injuries. Starters Ricky Rubio, Kevin Martin and Nikola Pekovic all remain out. Shabazz Muhammad played through a sprained left ankle on Monday in a loss to Golden State and had 14 points in 19 minutes. He's day-to-day. So is guard Mo Williams, who missed Monday's game with a back injury. Minnesota has won just three of its past 29 vs. Portland and four straight. Minnesota was beaten 107-93 in Portland on Nov. 30.
Key trends: The home team has covered four of the past six meetings. The over is 5-0 in the past five in Minnesota.
Early lean: Blazers will take this one for granted and fail to cover. Go over.
Pelicans at Mavericks (-7, 210.5)
Second of a back-to-back for both as New Orleans hosted New York and Dallas had a very tough one in Memphis. Dallas has won eight straight meetings with New Orleans, and the Mavs are 19-2 all time at home against the Pelicans. However, 10 of the last 16 regular-season meetings between the teams have been decided by five points or fewer. The Mavs won in New Orleans 109-104 on Nov. 1.
Key trends: Dallas has covered seven of the past eight meetings. The over is 9-0 in the Mavs' past nine Wednesday games.
Early lean: Pelicans cover and over.
Heat at Nuggets (-3.5, 205)
Miami played the run-and-gun Suns in Phoenix on Tuesday, so the Heat will have heavy legs in the thin air of Denver. However, the Nuggets will be very shorthanded here. In Monday's 112-107 overtime loss in Toronto, Denver played without Kenneth Faried (back), JaVale McGee (left leg) and Nate Robinson (back) for the second straight game. Randy Foye (right leg) and Jusuf Nurkic (personal) were also unavailable. Robinson might play here. The other guys likely not.
Key trends: Miami is 1-7 ATS in its past eight in Denver. The over is 7-1 in Denver's past eight at home.
Early lean: Still like Nuggets and over.
Rockets at Warriors (TBA)
Golden State is simply fun to watch, and its 13-game winning streak is a franchise-best. The Warriors didn't play all that well in Minneapolis on Monday but still won by 16. However, Andrew Bogut left that game with right knee irritation, so he might sit for a little while. The team has to have him healthy when it matters, not right now. The Rockets remain without starting forward Terrence Jones indefinitely, and Dwight Howard is not expected to play here. He has missed nine straight games. Houston's first loss of the year was Nov. 8 at home to the Warriors, 98-87. Howard missed that game too.
Key trends: The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings. The under is 5-1 in the past six.
Early lean: Have to wait and see on Bogut and Howard.
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