Some major upsets in the college football world last week really changed the way the playoff rankings look. Auburn falling at home to Texas A&M was the biggest upset, and it likely ended the Tigers chances of making another run at the title. As the regular season winds down, there will be an even greater importance on each game.

In the NFL, the NFC South has become a joke with New Orleans pacing the division at 4-5. Who would have thought the Cleveland Browns would be at the top of the AFC North in the middle of November? Expect that AFC North race to get hot and heavy down the stretch. That is the most competitive division in football. Philadelphia at Green Bay and New England at Indianapolis headline a solid slate of games in the NFL this weekend.

Rotation Number with Current Line and matchup - Original line before move in Parentheses

College Football:

#322 North Carolina State -17 vs. Wake Forest (NC State -12.5) Saturday, Nov. 15, 3 p.m. ET

The North Carolina State Wolfpack have won exactly one game in the ACC in the past two seasons. Still, the money is pouring in on the Wolfpack against the lowly Wake Forest Demon Deacons. There is nothing exciting about a game between these two teams. NC State has that one conference win this year, and Wake Forest has none. Considering the lack of talent he has, I think Dave Clawson has done a really nice job with Wake Forest this year. I think one of the reasons for this line move is likely the effort that Wake Forest put up last week against Clemson. Wake Forest fought hard in that game, and it could be hard for them to put forth that kind of effort in two straight contests.

#344 Air Force -2.5 vs. Nevada (Air Force +1) Saturday, Nov. 15, 2 p.m. ET

The Air Force Falcons are a much better team than they were last year, and people are finally starting to take notice. Air Force is always able to run the ball, but this year the Air Force defense has been much improved compared to the last couple seasons. Air Force has built up some really nice momentum with big wins in the last two weeks on the road at Army and at UNLV. They come home here to host a Nevada team that has been inconsistent all year long. A move like this one is likely to be from sharp money, because the public doesn't get involved in this type of matchup very often.

#376 Marshall -21.5 vs. Rice (Marshall -19.5) Saturday, Nov. 15, 2:30 p.m. ET

Remember the Conference USA Championship Game at the end of last season? Even if you don't, there's no doubt Marshall does. The Thundering Herd were a 6.5-point favorite in last year's title game, and Rice ended up blowing them out 41-24. The Owls have won six games in a row, but they certainly aren't the same team they were last year. Rice has feasted on a weak schedule in the last six weeks. This week they go up against a Marshall team that is fighting hard to stay unbeaten to possibly get a big bowl berth. Bigger than that, though, Marshall badly wants to get revenge for last year's ugly title game loss. This line move makes sense to me.

#341 Virginia Tech +4.5 vs. Duke (Virginia Tech +6.5) Saturday, Nov. 15, Noon ET

Virginia Tech certainly hasn't done anything that should have bettors excited to back them. The Hokies pulled off a big upset in Columbus earlier this year against the Buckeyes, and they have been terrible ever since. This is more a case of the big money fading the Duke Blue Devils on a consistent basis. Duke has burned those who have tried to fade them all year, but it doesn't appear to be stopping them from trying again this week. The Blue Devils have covered in six of their last seven games. Will the big money get burned again here?

NFL:

#462 New Orleans Saints -7.5 vs. Cincinnati Bengals (Saints -5.5) Sunday, Nov. 16, 1 p.m. ET

The Bengals and the Saints are both coming off of really disappointing losses. They were disappointing losses in two different ways, though. The Saints outgained the 49ers and should have won the game, but they ended up losing in overtime. New Orleans has made a habit of losing games that they should have won this season. The Bengals were absolutely embarrassed at home last weekend by the Browns. Cincinnati's offense looked hapless. This is a move that could certainly be coming at least partially from the public. Anyone who watched that Browns vs. Bengals game last week would be anxious to go against the Bengals this weekend. There is a big difference between laying 5.5 and 7.5, though, so be careful.

#459 Atlanta Falcons -1 vs. Carolina Panthers (Falcons +1.5) Sunday, Nov. 16, 1 p.m. ET

It's not very often that we see flipped-favorite situations in the NFL, so when you see them you have to pay attention. The Falcons are coming off a road win at Tampa Bay, while the Panthers are coming off an ugly Monday Night Football road loss against the Eagles. Cam Newton is dinged up this week, which could have something to do with the line move, but most expect him to play in this game. Atlanta played better last week, but the Falcons are still a totally different team on the road compared to at home. This is one where I'd be cautious following the line move.

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