Expert NFL Betting Picks: Weekly NFC East Predictions Week 14
by Dave Schwab - 12/3/2014
I had the Giants at Jacksonville game staying "under" 44.5 as last week's NFC 'pick of the week,' and while I missed the mark on that pick by a few points to fall to 8-5 on the year, the biggest news in this division was the Eagles' 33-10 victory over Dallas to take sole possession of first place at 9-3 on the year.
Each and every week of this year's NFL regular season I continue to preview all the games in the NFC East as well as release my free "pick of the week"with the use of Doc's Sports Unit Betting System.All the NFL betting odds for my picks are provided by BetOnline. The ultimate goal is to generate a solid profit with my free picks, and so far I have remained fairly hot with an overall return of $820 for any $100 bettor that has been following the recommended plays on these weekly picks.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Chicago Bears (Thursday, Dec. 4, 8:25 p.m.)
This Thursday night almost becomes a "must-win" for the Cowboys after last week's stunning defeat to stay in both the division title race and the overall playoff race in the NFC. The loss dropped Dallas to 8-4 straight up and 6-6 against the spread. The key to getting past the Bears on the road is a return to the formula that led to the Cowboys' 6-1 start; DeMarco Murray running the ball and Tony Romo taking care of the ball.
Chicago is pretty much playing the role of spoiler after falling to 5-7 with last Thursday's 34-17 loss to Detroit as a seven-point road underdog. The Bears are now just 2-4 both SU and ATS in their last six games. They have no problem beating up on the bottom feeders in the league, but they have not beaten a team with a winning record since Week 2 of the season.
BetOnline has listed the Cowboys as 3.5-point road favorites for Thursday night's matchup, and the total for the game has been set at 51.
St. Louis Rams vs. Washington Redskins (Sunday, Dec. 6, 1 p.m.)
The Rams are coming off one of their most lopsided victories in quite a few years after pasting Oakland 52-0 as six-point home favorites. They have now gone 3-2 SU in their last five games while covering the spread in four of those contests. At 5-7 SU on the year, this is another team that is basically playing out the string. However, St. Louis continues to show up each week and play hard against every team it faces.
Washington turned to Colt McCoy as its starting quarterback last week against Indianapolis, and while head coach Jay Gruden might be playing the moral victory card, it still got pushed around pretty good in a 49-27 loss to the Colts as a 7.5-point road underdog. This is a game the Redskins should be able to win at home, and this week will be a good test to see if this 3-9 ball club is going to phone it in over the next few weeks.
St. Louis heads into FedEx Field as a slight 2.5-point road favorite on Sunday, with the betting odds on the total set at 44.5.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Philadelphia Eagles (Sunday, Dec. 6 4:25 p.m.)
This game is easily the marquee matchup on Sunday's NFL slate, and it will be interesting to see how Seattle's revitalized defense holds up against Chip Kelly's high-octane offense on the road. This unit has allowed a grand total six points to Arizona and San Francisco in its last two games, but it got tagged for 24 points in a Week 11 road loss to Kansas City. The Seahawks are 8-4 SU with a 6-6 record ATS. They have failed to cover in four of their previous six road games this year.
Philadelphia was impressive on the road against Dallas, and it has gone 5-1 ATS in six previous home games this year. However, this Sunday will be a true test to see if this team is ready to seriously compete for this season's NFC title. The two biggest things in the Eagles' favor in this Sunday's game is LeSean McCoy's return to All-Pro form running the ball and a defense that loves to get after quarterbacks with the second-most sacks in the league (42).
The Eagles are listed as slight one-point home favorites on BetOnline's current board, and the total is now set at 48.5.
NFC East Week 14 'Pick of the Week'
New York Giants vs. Tennessee Titans (Sunday, Dec.6, 1 p.m.)
The 3-9 New York Giants continued to spiral downward with last Sunday's 25-24 loss to Jacksonville as three-point road favorites. It was their seventh SU loss in a row, and they are 1-6 ATS during this slide. For a team that came into this season with such high expectations, the motivation level to finish the season on a strong note is all but gone. It is almost a foregone conclusion that this will be Tom Coughlin's last season at the helm, and an already dismal defense that is ranked 28th in the NFL in points allowed (26.6) just lost its best lineman for the year when Robert Ayers tore a muscle in his chest.
Tennessee has been even worse with just two SU wins in its first 12 games and a costly 3-8-1 record ATS. The Titans' defense has been nowhere to be seen over the past few weeks after giving up an average of 38.3 points in its last three games. The Titans' offense has not really helped the cause with an average of 17.8 points a game, but in those three losses it did manage to score a combined 69 points. Seeing how five of the Giants' last six home games have gone "over" the total, along with nine of Tennessee's last 12 games at home, I am going with the over 45.5 in this game as my NFC East "pick of the week" with neither defense showing up.
3-Unit Play: Take New York vs. Tennessee OVER 45.5
Year to Date Record: 8-5 (+$820)
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