Betting with The Prop Machine and Free Thursday Pick
by Doc's Sports - 8/28/2014
This is the time of year that anyone who loves to wager on sports dreams about. The long layoff for betting on football is over with the start of a new college football season this week, and next week the games start to count for real in the NFL.
Everyone who bets on sports is also looking for ways to gain an edge against the sportbooks this time of year, and one of the best ways to boost your bankroll is wagering on some of the various player prop bet odds that they will release in conjunction with the games. These are different than the general player props that are released before the start of the season as they pertain to a player's particular performance in that week's game.
The Prop Machine has been releasing selections for both college football and NFL player props for the past six seasons, and the results speak for themselves. This past season alone the return for $100 bettors using Doc's Sports Unit Betting System for every one of The Prop Machine's football selections was a profit of over $27,000. Looking back over the six-year span, The Prop Machine's winning percentage for football has never dropped lower than 60 percent, and in four of those years the return was 66 percent or better.
The Prop Machine also cleaned up in the NBA this past season with a return of over $27,000, and over the course of the entire year with all of the player prop selections it released, the return eclipsed the $42,000 mark.
The secret to such continued success lies in the ability to detect which players are being "overvalued" of "undervalued" in relation to the betting odds released for an anticipated performance in an upcoming game. Oddsmakers rely heavily on past performances and overall averages when setting the odds for player props in any sport. The Prop Machine recognizes when a bad line is released for certain player props and takes full advantage of the oddsmaker's mistake.
Last Week's Results
The Prop Machine may change some of its focus to football this time of the year, but it is still killing it in the MLB with a 4-2 record last week that provided a return of $580 to the $100 bettor wagering the recommended units on each and every released selection. Three of the winning picks were on the "over" on total strikeouts as the starter outperformed the number in all three instances.
This winning streak raised The Prop Machine's overall return on MLB this season to +$2,400. Its biggest money maker this MLB season has been the "under 2" play on a player's total hits, runs and RBI in any particular game. Through this past weekend's selections for this particular player prop, The Prop Machine has gone 25-6 for a return of $6,900.
Recent Trends
The Prop Machine relies heavily on recent trends and current form to provide some valuable insight into future results. It spends a great deal of time studying tendencies and analyzing results to come up with a more predictable pattern that can be effectively measured against a player's prop odds for a specific game.
While the start of a new season of football does present some challenges given the extended offseason layoff, certain tendencies will carry over from one season to the next. The oddsmakers are in the same boat as they try and set the individual player props for the early games. The Prop Machine is in an excellent position to exploit this situation by carefully calculating a player's tendencies in relation to the actual betting odds that have been released.
The Prop Machine Free Pick
The Prop Machine's amazing run of 13 winners in its last 17 free selections slowed a bit for last Monday's free pick when Kansas City starter Jason Vargas came up three strikeouts short in a win over Minnesota. The prop stayed "under" Bovada's betting line of 4.5 strikeouts, with the odds set at -140 for the over.
Even though the overall record on the weekly free picks dropped to 13-4-1, the return for a $100 bettor wagering the recommended units with Doc's Unit Betting System would still have a positive return of $3,320.
The Prop Machine is going with the "over 4.5" (-140 Bovada) on Los Angeles Angels' starter CJ Wilson's total strikeouts in Thursday's start against Oakland as this week's free pick.
Be sure to check out The Prop Machine Insider's Page here on Doc's Sports website for a complete recap of their track record at picking props and making their clients profit.
For a free trial of The Prop Machine, simply email your Doc's username to service@docsports.com. If you do not have an existing account with Doc's Sports, you can set up a free one that comes with a $60 credit here. Also, be sure to follow The Prop Machine on Twitter @propmachine1 for updated free picks and breaking news.
Most Recent Weekly Sports Betting and Handicapping
- Best Prop Bets Tonight: MLB Division Winner Odds
- Weekly Q&A with Doc's Sports Expert Handicapper Raphael Esparza
- Weekly Q&A with Doc's Sports Expert Handicapper Raphael Esparza
- Weekly Q&A with Doc's Sports Expert Handicapper Raphael Esparza
- Weekly Q&A with Doc's Sports Expert Handicapper Raphael Esparza
- Weekly Q&A with Doc's Sports Expert Handicapper Raphael Esparza
- Weekly Q&A with Doc's Sports Expert Handicapper Raphael Esparza
- Weekly Q&A with Doc's Sports Expert Handicapper Raphael Esparza
- Weekly Q&A with Doc's Sports Expert Handicapper Raphael Esparza
- Weekly Q&A with Doc's Sports Expert Handicapper Raphael Esparza