Back to the Futures: And Then There Were Four
by Ricky Dimon - 2/20/2014
The men’s hockey event is down to its last four medal hopefuls in Sochi. On the other side of the pond in Daytona, of course, far more contenders are vying for car racing’s top prize.
All odds provided by Sportsbook.ag
Men’s Ice Hockey Gold Medal
United States (+120) – What a difference a week makes. Before the Sochi Olympics began, Canada was the favorite, Russia was the second choice, and the United States was fourth—also behind Sweden. However, Team USA compiled a 3-0 mark in group play and took down Russia in the process before hammering the Czech Republic 5-2 in the quarterfinals.
Canada (+150) – The Canadians have not been overly impressive, but they are also undefeated so far in Sochi. In group play, the defending gold medalists beat Norway only 3-1 and needed overtime to get past Finland. In the quarterfinals, Canada found itself tied with Latvia before notching a power-play goal inside 10 minutes left for a 2-1 win.
Sweden (+350) – Sweden has been in cruise control for the most part, even though it did not blow anyone out during group play (4-2 over the Czech Republic, 1-0 over Switzerland, and 5-3 over Latvia). The Swedes, who captured gold in 1994 and 2006, picked up the pace for a 5-0 destruction of Slovenia in Wednesday’s quarterfinals.
Finland (+650) – The Finns will be on Russia’s blacklist after unceremoniously bouncing the home team via a 3-1 decision on Wednesday. They have never won a gold medal, but they always seem to contend. This is now the sixth time in the last eight Winter Olympics that Finland has appeared in the medal rounds. Performances against Canada and Russia are encouraging.
Daytona 500
Jimmie Johnson (+1000) – As if being the undisputed best driver in the world is not enough, Johnson is also no slouch in Daytona. He is a two-time champion of the Daytona 500 after winning it just last year. The No. 48 car captured five straight Sprint Cup titles from 2006 to 2010, and he reasserted his dominance by adding another trophy last season.
Kyle Busch (+1000) – Busch has not had a ton of success at the Great American Race, although he has contended on occasion. The younger Busch brother finished fourth in 2008, led the most laps in 2009, and ran as high as second last year before blowing out an engine. He drove to a solid fourth-place result in last year’s Sprint Cup standings.
Kevin Harvick (+1000) – What’s not to like about Harvick’s chances this weekend? He won four races in 2013 and finished third in the Sprint Cup standings. The No. 29 car’s exploits in Daytona are no less impressive. Harvick took home the checkered flag in 2007, and he has posted six top-10 performances since that triumph.
Dale Earnhardt Jr. (+1000) – Earnhardt won the Daytona 500 in 2004, and he has since finished in the Top 10 six times, with three runner-up finishes. Matt Kenseth, who won the thing in both 2009 and 2012, is also +1000. Pole-sitter Austin Dillon is +2500, and Martin Truex Jr., who is on the front line to Dillon’s outside, is +3000.
Michael Sam Draft Position
Third round (+300) – Sam is the first openly gay NFL Draft prospect, and he is expected to become the first openly gay NFL player come May. Round three may be Sam’s best realistic hope, but he is +2000 to go in the first round (the longest shot among his eight draft options) and +1000 to be selected in the second round.
Fourth round (+350) – It’s hard to imagine a guy who was the AP’s SEC Defensive Player of the Year and the coaches’ SEC Co-Defensive Player of the Year (along with Alabama’s C.J. Mosley) slipping past the fourth round. Of course, there’s a decent chance at least one of the NFL’s 32 snatches Sam up prior to this stage of the proceedings.
Fifth round (+450) – The fifth round may not be a bad play. It’s in the middle of the road—a spot that would suggest a team is not completely chomping at the bit for Sam but also not entirely scared off. The former Missouri star’s pass-rushing skills (11.5 sacks last season) are a hot commodity in today’s NFL.
Sixth round (+650) – Sam is generally considered to be a third-round talent, so if he slips through as many as five rounds you will know something is up. If teams avoid him through five, what’s to say they will have change of heart in the sixth? Sam is +1000 to be taken in the seventh round and +800 to go undrafted.
“Over/Under” Regular-Season Wins
Los Angeles Dodgers (93.5) – Nobody is expected to win more games this season than the L.A. Dodgers, who reached the NLCS in 2013 before succumbing to St. Louis. Clayton Kershaw is the reigning NL Cy Young Award winner, and he is pitching with a new contract. Now the Dodgers just have to avoid that bad start, like the one they endured last year.
Atlanta Braves (87.5) – The offseason began in borderline disastrous fashion, with Brian McCann heading to the Bronx and Tim Hudson bolting for San Francisco. Recently, though, Atlanta has been signing its young players left and right. The 2014 key will be improvements (how could they not improve?) of Dan Uggla and B.J. Upton.
New York Yankees (86.5) – The Yankees added McCann at catcher and bolstered their pitching staff with Masahiro Tanaka. They are also banking on the healthy returns of first baseman Mark Teixeira and starter Michael Pineda. A lot has to go right, but will Derek Jeter’s career end with a bang?
Houston Astros (64) – Houston won a mere 51 games last season and is taking a 15-game losing streak with it into the 2014 campaign. A few young prospects do, however, have a real chance of improving this team. The Lovable Losers of Chicago are expected to be the second-worst team in baseball, with an over/under of 69 wins.
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