It was a strong week for the Public Action Report last week. The five games that fit the criteria ended going 4-1 ATS, and included big underdog outright wins by the Steelers (+2.5) and Washington State (+11). This week we have three college football games that fit the criteria, so let’s continue the winning ways.

By this point in the season you probably have the criteria figured out. Just in case, though, here’s a quick recap. We are looking for situations in which the line movement doesn’t make sense. When the action on a game is lopsided — 70 percent or more of the bets on one team — you would expect the line to move to become less attractive on the more popular team so that the sportsbooks can balance their action and minimize their risk. Sometimes, though, the line will actually move to make the popular team more attractive. That could indicate that sharp money has come in aggressively on the less-popular team or perhaps that the books don’t fear action on the popular team for some reason. Whatever the cause of the line movement, it’s a pretty good indication that the less-popular team is worthy of attention.

Here are the three games for this week:

North Carolina State (+5.5) vs. East Carolina (12:30 p.m. ET)

This game opened with East Carolina favored by a full touchdown on the road — incidentally a sign of the sorry state of the N.C. State program. More than 80 percent of bets have come in on the Pirates, yet the line has fallen to 5.5 — a clear sign that the Wolfpack are worth a look here. ECU could easily be looking beyond this one. Next week they play at Marshall in a one-game showdown that will decide the winner of the C-USA East division as long as Marshall doesn’t blow it this week against a terrible FIU team. They didn’t cover the spread last week, and they have failed to do so in three of their last five. The Wolfpack are far from good right now, but they are still worth a look at home.

Hawaii (+6) at Wyoming (2 p.m. ET)

This game opened with Wyoming favored by a touchdown. The Cowboys have drawn nearly three-quarters of the action, yet the line has dropped to six points. The Warriors get our attention. Hawaii is winless in 10 games this year, so it is no wonder they are getting ignored by bettors. They are a decent 5-5 ATS on the year, though and 3-2 ATS off the island. Wyoming, meanwhile, has only covered one spread in their last six, and they have lost four in a row, so they are far from a dominant home team here.

San Diego State (+5.5) vs. Boise State (10:30 p.m. ET)

This game opened with the Broncos favored by a touchdown on the road. More than 80 percent of bets have come in on Boise State — a very public team still despite their relative struggles this year. The line has still fallen by 1.5 points, though, and could be down by as much as two points at some books. That means that the Aztecs are worth a look here. While San Diego State is playing at home here, they are coming off a two-game road trip in which they won and covered both games — a sign that they are tough and ready to perform. When these two teams met last year SDSU won on the road as 16-point underdogs, so they are capable here.

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