Things went well for the Public Action Report last week. UAB, Navy and the Vikings all covered spreads as we suspected they might, and only Arkansas’ failure kept us away from a perfect 4-0 sweep. That puts the Report at a nicely profitable 17-13 ATS over the last seven weeks — a solid 57 percent winning clip. Let’s keep on keeping on this week.

We will just touch briefly on the criteria for the Report this week because we looked at it in detail last week. Basically, we are looking for games where the betting action is heavily weighted towards one team — at least 70 percent of bets on them — yet the line for that team has moved to become more attractive. That’s contrary to what we would expect and a good sign that the less-popular team is worth a look. We are looking at another reasonably busy week, with four college games on Saturday, though no NFL games meet the criteria (Carolina came close to being a fit at the Niners but just fell short). Without further ado:

College Football (all games on Saturday, Nov. 9)

Texas-San Antonio (-9) vs. Tulane (2 p.m. ET)

Here is a relatively rare situation — we are going to be on a fairly strong favorite here. Tulane has drawn the support of 70 percent of bettors as the underdog, yet the line has climbed from 7.5 to 9. That means that Texas-San Antonio gets our attention in this one. Tulane is coming off a very flat road performance against an embattled FAU team, so they could be tough to trust here despite the fact that they had won four in a row heading into that contest. Texas-San Antonio has won two in a row, including their first home win after three previous home losses. They are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win, so they are a team that carries momentum forward well.

Cal (+16) vs. USC (3 p.m. ET)

More than 80 percent of bettors have, not surprisingly, backed the very public and recently-resurgent Trojans against a Cal team that has just one win. Despite that, though, the line has dropped from the key number of 17 to 16. That means that Cal is worth a look here. USC is just 1-3 ATS this year away from home, while Cal has, despite losing, covered their last two large spreads against Washington and Arizona. The Trojans have a big game against Stanford next week, and they will be looking to do what Oregon was shockingly unable to do on Thursday, so it would be very easy for USC to be looking past this easy game and give less than their best performance.

Utah (+6.5) vs. Arizona State (4 p.m. ET)

Arizona State has drawn more than 70 percent of the action in this one, yet the line has dropped from the key number of 7 to 6.5, so Utah is our focus in this one. The Utes certainly earned some real respect Thursday night since they beat the Stanford squad that humiliated Oregon. Utah has lost two in a row since that shocking upset, but both have been on the road — at Arizona and USC — so they should be happy to be back in their friendly home environment where they are 3-1 both straight up and ATS. Arizona State covered their last road game spread, but that was against lowly Washington State, so it is far from shocking that they managed it. That was the only time they have covered a road spread this year in three tries. Before Washington State, they lost at Notre Dame as the same 6.5-point favorites they are here.

Arizona (-1.5) vs. UCLA (10 p.m. ET)

It’s a Pac-12-heavy weekend for the Public Action Report. Our third game from that conference has seen UCLA draw 70 percent of the bets yet go from slight favorite to slight underdogs. The game opened with UCLA favored by a single point, but now Arizona is the 1.5-point favorite. Given the bet distribution, Arizona gets the nod here. UCLA has lost their last two road games and has really seen the outlook for their season crumble after loses to Oregon and Stanford. Arizona is playing just their fourth home game and their second in the last six weeks. They have won and covered all three up to this point and will be relieved to be home again. UCLA, which is just average defending against the run, could be challenged by a potent Arizona ground game led by Ka’Deem Carey, who has gained more than 1,000 yards and is averaging an impressive 5.7 yards per carry.

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