College Football Power Rankings: Ferringo 15
by Robert Ferringo - 11/20/2013
Due to circumstances beyond my control there was no Ferringo 15 last week. I thought about just taking the two-week record of the last crop that we had posted, but decided against it because technically there wasn’t anything “on the record”.
However, two weeks ago our F-15 teams had one of their best showings of the year, going 9-3 against the spread. That runs the Ferringo 15’s season-to-date record to an excellent 71-54 ATS. And over the past two years the teams in our college football betting power rankings have gone 146-97 ATS. That is a steady and documented 60.1 percent winning rate over 243 plays.
Who says that no one can pick 60 percent? I just did it. Over nearly 250 plays. You’re welcome America.
The Ferringo 15 is my Profit-Power Rankings; a rating of the 15 teams that hold the most value in college football betting at the moment. It is a reflection of past, present, and projected future achievement against the spread in college football betting. As teams play and betting markets adjust, so to does the perceived “value” of the teams on the list. Consider the Ferringo 15 a list of stocks whose values will fluctuate based on how they perform and also how the public’s expectations for them change.
Last year no college football betting system in the country was a better bet in the last two months than the Ferringo 15. The F-15 turned a profit in eight of the final nine weeks of the regular season, and the teams on this list went an amazing 75-43-1 against the spread. The top six teams on the Ferringo 15 were a staggering 35-11-1 ATS in the last nine weeks of the season.
Here is my 2013 Ferringo 15 College Football Power Rankings (all records are ATS against the closing line):
1. Wisconsin (9-0-1) – The Badgers are just absolutely pummeling people. Truly, there are probably only 20 teams – maybe – in the country that can stand up to the Badgers running game for a full 60 minutes. Minnesota is not one of them.
2. Houston (9-1) – Surprisingly, for as well as Houston has played this year, they have only been favored twice since late September. That is, prior to this week. But playing good teams close and beating good teams outright are two different things.
3. Florida State (9-1) – Poor, poor Idaho. I didn’t think the Seminoles were going to lay into Syracuse like they did last week. We will see if they can hit 70 against the Vandals this Saturday.
4. Missouri (8-2) – Beware, Missouri backers: there is a heavy reverse line movement in their game against Mississippi this week. Nearly 80 percent of the action is on Mizzou, but the spread is dropping the way of the host Rebels.
5. Baylor (8-1) – The books just continue to raise the bar for the Bears, and Baylor just keeps on clearing it. But I think being posted as a 10-point favorite on the road against an Oklahoma State team of near-equal talent is asking too much.
6. Oregon (7-3) – Let’s not forget about the Ducks, shall we? Oregon is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 road games, 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games overall and 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games against the Pac-12.
7. Florida Atlantic (8-2) – It’s not often you see a 4-6 team installed as a 22-point favorite. The Owls are on a 16-5 ATS push, and they are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 nonconference games.
8. Buffalo (8-3) – It was a blowout winner for the Bulls on Tuesday at Miami, OH. That sets up a MAC East title game, essentially, against Bowling Green.
9. Central Florida (6-3) – That Rutgers game was a splash of cold water to the face of the Knights, who have now gone 0-2 ATS since a sizzling 6-1 ATS start. We will see if they play with a second wind this week as a heavy favorite (-17) against Rutgers.
10. Auburn (9-2) – There are fluke, miracle finishes to cover a spread. And then there is what the Tigers pulled out last Saturday.
11. Ball State (8-3) – The Cardinals have a rare late-season bye week. Unfortunately, they can only watch and wait for Wednesday’s game between Northern Illinois and Toledo to find out if they still have a shot at the MAC West.
12. North Texas (8-2) – The Mean Green controls its own destiny in a clogged CUSA West. They have a key game against Texas-San Antonio this week, and this one should be a battle. North Texas is 6-0 ATS in its last six home games and is on a five-game ATS win streak.
13. Anyone Playing Notre Dame (7-3) – I thought it was shocking that BYU was posted as a favorite this week against the Irish. But the Cougars have revenge for last year’s loss in South Bend, and I don’t think there is a doubt that BYU has been better the last two months.
14. Tulane (7-3) – Believe it or not, but the Green Wave are actually still in the hunt for the CUSA West title. However, they could get caught looking ahead to a critical game against Rice next weekend.
15. Washington State (7-3) – The Cougars will try to snap out of a win-loss-win-loss ATS pattern that they have held for the past seven weeks. Wazzou has revenge for a 43-point beating in Utah last year and a tough OT loss in Pullman in 2011.
Robert Ferringo is a lead writer for Doc’s Sport and he is off to a strong start to the season. Robert has posted four straight winning football weeks and is on an NFL tear. He went a perfect 7-0 with his NFL sides last Sunday and has gone 19-6 over the last four weeks. Robert will have a 7-Unit NFL Game of the Year this Sunday, and he has gone 13-5 in all sports with his plays of 7.0 or higher. Take advantage of our free, no-strings-attached $60 credit to use toward a purchase of Robert’s football selections and get on this big game. CLICK HERE for $60 absolutely free!
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