Masters Odds: Tiger Woods Golf Props Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 4/6/2011
It’s almost daunting how many prop options you have at your betting disposal for golf’s Super Bowl this week, the Masters. Let’s start our previews of the tournament with the guy who is still the biggest story whenever he plays despite not having won an official event since September 2009. And that of course is Tiger Woods.
In many ways this week’s Masters could show us what to expect of Tiger in the coming years and whether he has a realistic shot of breaking Jack Nicklaus’ record of 18 major championships. Woods has been stuck on 14 majors since his epic U.S. Open victory at Torrey Pines in 2008. Tiger has four green jackets to his credit, but this is the longest victory drought in his career at Augusta as well, not having won there since 2005. By comparison, Phil Mickelson has won the Masters three times since 2004. Tiger always plays well at Augusta, however. He finished tied for fourth in the 2010 Masters, and he said it's all about being in contention after the first 63 holes. Ian Poulter made some news already by saying Woods won't finish in the top five in this tournament.
Anyways, there are a ton of props just available on Tiger this week as I found when perusing Masters odds. For example, you can get at Bodog whether Tiger hits a hole in one. There is only a ‘yes’ option, but pays a sweet +6600. Just at that price it’s probably worth a shot, but Woods has never had a hole in one in an official round at Augusta. There have only been 21 holes-in-one in Masters history, although there were two last year with both coming on No. 16. And it’s that hole where the majority have happened with 13 of the total holes in one in tournament history at 16.
Whether Woods finishes in the Top 10 is at -120 for ‘no’ and -110 for ‘yes’. That one seems like easy money, according to my Masters golf predictions, considering Tiger has finished in the Top 10 the past six years and has finished outside it just three times since his epic first victory at Augusta in 1997. A Top 5 finish is at 12/5. He has failed to do that just once in the past six years. You can get -110 for Tiger’s finishing position at 10th or better. The longest shot is oddly 11th through 22nd at +250.
Could Woods actually miss the cut? Oddsmakers sure don’t think so, with ‘no’ at +500 and ‘yes’ at -900. Since turning pro in August 1996, Woods has never failed to make the cut at the Masters. Ironically ’96 was the one year he did miss the cut at Augusta while playing still as an amateur.
You can also bet on Woods’ first drive on Thursday morning. He tees off at 10:41 a.m. Eastern time with U.S. Open champion Graeme McDowell and Robert Allenby. For what it’s worth, Woods drove straight down the fairway last year on his way to a first-round 68. The fairway is at even-money on that prop. There is a fairway bunker on No. 1, a par-4, 445-yard hole called Tea Olive that has a slight dogleg to the right. Carrying the fairway bunker requires a drive of 300 yards, which is no problem for Tiger. Thus, him hitting into the bunker on his first shot is a big +800 long shot. Tiger’s ‘over/under’ first-round score is 69.5 on Bodog with the ‘over’ the -130 favorite. That might be the best bet of them all considering Woods has shot ‘over’ that number in every first round in his Masters career except for 2010.
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