NFL Handicapping Articles

2024 NFL MVP Odds and Predictions
by Mike Allen - 11/21/2024

The race for the NFL’s Most Valuable Player in 2024 has tightened. However, teams still have six or seven games left to play. That’s nearly 40% of the regular season remaining. When you take into account recency bias and higher-weighted games like the one we just saw between Buffalo and KC, it’s almost like we’re only halfway there.

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 12: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 11/21/2024

As we enter Week 12 of the 2024 NFL season, point spreads are becoming harder and harder to bet successfully. We don't quite know which teams may be tanking games on purpose. That's because there are a lot of bad teams.

Week 13 NFL Odds - Lookahead Lines - Picks & Best Bet Predictions
by Mike Allen - 11/20/2024

Along with the festivities, shopping, and eating/comas, football fans will be treated to three Thanksgiving Day games. Black Friday features an AFC West rivalry game between the Raiders and the Chiefs. In all, we have a full schedule. Every NFL team will take the field in Week 13.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 12 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 11/19/2024

It is extremely difficult to consistently beat the sportsbooks over the course of an NFL season. However, one of the most consistent and reliable strategies to do so is by finding closing line value. By making your NFL Week 12 picks on the opening lines, you can avoid the inevitable shift towards a sharper price at kickoff.

Week 12 NFL Odds - Lookahead Lines - Picks & Best Bet Predictions
by Mike Allen - 11/13/2024

Each week around 3:00 PM Eastern, the sportsbooks release the lookahead betting lines for the following week's NFL action. That is different from the opening lines, which are released on Sunday night for the upcoming week.

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 11: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 11/12/2024

It's now Week 11 of the 2024 NFL Regular Season, and I can't speak for anyone else, but this has always been the hardest time of the year to win betting sides or totals against the spread. We know who the best teams are at this point. However, there are still teams like the Miami Dolphins fighting for their season, who surprised a lot of people with their performance this past Monday night.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 11 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 11/12/2024

Last week, we went a perfect 3-0 against the spread to bring our season record to 16-10-1. The Carolina Panthers kicked off the festivities with their outright victory over the New York Giants as +5 point underdogs. The Chiefs kept their perfect season alive, but the Broncos covered the +8.5 point spread in the process (which shrank to just +6.5 at kickoff).

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 10: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 11/7/2024

Betting on the NFL is one of the hardest things I’ve ever done. Honestly, I prefer to limit the amount of variables that can affect my wager. Lower-scoring sports are historically easier to bet on. I remember sparring with a guy in Vegas one time who was a professional hockey bettor. Once he told me that there were only a couple of casinos in town, offering higher-limit hockey betting, the fat mouse in my little brain began to walk that rusty wheel.

Week 11 NFL Odds - Lookahead Lines - Picks & Best Bet Predictions
by Mike Allen - 11/7/2024

Wow, so after the coldest start in the history of betting on the NFL for the public, they have put together yet another winning slate in Week 9. Favorites were 14-1 straight up and 10-5 against the spread. Over the past five weeks, teams that have closed as betting favorites are 64% ATS. The public, in particular, was 41% ATS over the first five weeks of the NFL season. Over the past three weeks, however, they’ve been better than ever at 63%.

Which NFL Teams will make the Playoffs? Odds and Best Bets
by Mike Allen - 11/6/2024

The 2024 NFL trade deadline has come and gone. You're most likely aware of the early moves. It began with Davante Adams reuniting with the old gunslinger in New York. Somehow, the league let the Kansas City Chiefs trade for DeAndre Hopkins. He was targeted nine times, catching eight of them for 100+ yards and two touchdowns in Monday night's win.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 10 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 11/5/2024

It is very difficult to consistently beat the sportsbooks in the NFL, but one of the most effective strategies for doing so is by securing Closing Line Value (CLV). There is a massive advantage created by an extra point or two in your favor, and taking advantage of the opening lines is a great way to lock in that edge.

2024 NFL Season Win Totals Predictions
by Mike Allen - 11/5/2024

I want to know which goes by faster in the NFL, the first half of the season or the second half. For me, the first 9 weeks of the 2024 regular season have actually dragged on. All sunshine and rainbows aren't reality, and too much of a grind can leave anyone feeling dull.

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 9: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 10/31/2024

Heading into Week 9 of the 2024 NFL Regular Season, most bettors are in the red. I heard one ridiculous statistic the other day about betting on sports. It was that 99.5% of all bettors, meaning anyone who's ever placed a bet on a sporting event, is down money in their lifetime. That's brutal.

Week 10 NFL Odds - Lookahead Lines - Picks & Best Bet Predictions
by Mike Allen - 10/31/2024

It's officially Week 9 of the 2024 regular season. I'm sure you have some NFL bets lined up already. Sometimes, though, betting the pro football lines the week of the game can be frustrating. That is about the time of the year for me when the waters get muddy. I'm having my best year of picking and betting on the NFL of my life, but there is still another half of the season to go.

2024 NFL Division Winner Odds and Best Bets
by Mike Allen - 10/29/2024

It’s officially Week 9 of the 2024 NFL Regular Season. Consider this, your almost halfway, never too early odds and best bets article for 2024 NFL division winners. I didn’t include all of the divisions today because some are not close at all, and I know you’re busy.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 9 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 10/28/2024

One of the most effective ways to generate a profit when betting on the NFL is by finding the closing line value (CLV). CLV is when the line you wager on before the game shifts in your favor by the time kickoff rolls around. The books are often very sharp with the closing lines, but there is almost always value available in the early stages of the week.

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 8: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 10/24/2024

Entering Week 8 of the 2024 NFL regular season, the public has been in the green for the past few weeks. They are setting themselves up for an all-time terrible day of betting. In response to the public winning, the sportsbooks have raised betting lines on the favorites significantly in hopes of scaring some people off.

Week 9 NFL Odds - Lookahead Lines - Picks & Best Bet Predictions
by Mike Allen - 10/23/2024

After another successful week from the betting public, we’re looking at some massive spreads in Week 8. Working our way down the slate, we have favorites of 11, 9, 7, 7.5, 10, 9, and 6.5 points, and only three games with betting odds under a field goal. For example, the Denver Broncos are now 9-point betting favorites at home against the 1-6 Carolina Panthers. That’s a lot of points. Do you want to lay nearly double digits on a rookie quarterback?

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 8 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 10/22/2024

The opening lines can offer value that is impossible to find on gameday. The bookmakers are usually pretty sharp with their closing lines, but they can leave extra points of value on their opening guesses. An extra point or two on the spread can be the difference between winning and losing in the long run, and it is crucial to lock in these bets as soon as possible.

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 7: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 10/16/2024

Outside of just picking a side for fun or one being your favorite team, how many bettors are lining up to seriously make money on a game like the Chiefs visiting the 49ers? The line is (-1.5) for the home 49ers, so that makes this essentially a pick'em. This game, along with a few others like the Jets vs Steelers and Lions vs Vikings, will probably be decided in the final quarter. Think about all the bounces and or penalties that could or could not go your way. If only there were a way we could give ourselves a little cushion on the betting odds. Well, we could tease the games.