Betting During the NHL Stretch Run
by Trevor Whenham - 4/1/2010
![]()

Like most major sports, handicapping the NHL in the last few games of the season is a very different challenge than it is  for the rest of the season. In my experience, the NHL changes even more than  most other sports do.  If you aren't aware of the factors that make it  different and fail to incorporate them not your handicapping then you are going  to struggle to come out ahead at the betting window. Here are six factors you  need to keep in mind to make sure you are actually betting on the team you  think they are, and not just a very different version in the same uniform.
  
  Urgency - The NHL has always produced playoff races and races for  division titles that have come down to the last game. The advent of a point for  overtime losses a few years ago only served to further tighten races and make  the races more intense. Any time you have a tight race you have teams playing  with urgency to make sure that they make the playoffs, or that they earn home ice  advantage. It's overly simplistic to assume that a team playing with urgency is  going to play well, and many a bankroll has been decimated relying on that  assumption. What you can assume, though, is that the urgency of the situation  is going to have an effect on the team one way or the other. It is essential,  then, to first ascertain whether the team is playing with more than usual at  stake, and then to best guess how they will react to that adversity. Some teams  have shown that they respond well to extra pressure, while others don't have  the leadership and composure to rise to the occasion.
  
  Health - The NHL season is incredibly long and grueling, and every team  is beaten and battered before the postseason ever starts. You have to assume a  certain level of poor health on every team, and know that you won't hear about  most injury situations at this time of year anyway. What you need to be on the  lookout for, though, are situations that go beyond the norm at this time.  Because teams are going to be cranked up to full potential at this time, and  because players aren't necessarily at their freshest, an injury to a key player can have even more of  an impact now than it can have down the stretch. Vulnerable teams with their  backs against the wall can also have their confidence shattered by a single  injury if it happens to the wrong guy.
  
  Administration status - You don't have to be an NHL insider to have a  pretty good idea of which coaches are on their last legs right now, or which  GMs are likely to be looking for a new job. There are also always coaches at  this time of year that are coaching for their jobs. Teams that have staff in  turmoil aren't going to perform the same way that a team with stability are  going to. It's not always the case, but generally a team in a situation like  this is going to be quicker to turn a deaf ear, and not quite as eager to go the extra mile. It's  important to remember here that it's not just non-playoff teams that make  changes.
  
  Roster strategy - Some teams are going to use the last part of the  season trying out new players, calling players up from the minors or junior and  college hockey, and getting a sense of what the future holds under game  intensity. Others will play the season out essentially as they have played the  rest of their games - especially if they are in the playoffs or trying to get  there. Obviously, the more changes a team goes through, the less certainty  there is that it is going to perform like it always has.
  
  The last hurrah - This time of year free agents who don't intend to  re-sign with their current teams are looking to make the best last impression  they can so that other general managers are attracted to signing them and  paying as much as they can. Veterans who know that they are at the end of their  careers will often also play at extra intensity to go out with a bang. Teams  with more than their share of departing players, then, are more likely than the  average team to enjoy a comparatively strong finish to the season.
  
  The dreaded clinch - There is nothing harder to get a good sense of than  how a team is going to respond once they have already clinched their playoff  position. Some team will keep their foot on the gas for fear that once they  slow down they won't be able to start up again. Others will take the Indianapolis  Colts' approach - rest the starters and give no regard at all to the results  until the playoffs start. Still, others will continue to work hard, but will struggle as their focus unintentionally loses some  intensity. Once a team has clinched all that they are likely to accomplish you  need to be especially careful as you try to determine the way they are most  likely to react. 
Most Recent Hockey Handicapping
- Expert NHL Handicapping Roundup for 10/31/2025
 - NHL Betting: Hot and Cold Teams ATS and Moneyline
 - NHL Player Awards: Odds and Expert Betting Predictions
 - 2025 NHL Hockey Picks Special
 - 2026 NHL Stanley Cup Predictions and Futures Odds
 - 2025-26 Florida Panthers Predictions and Odds to Win Stanley Cup Finals
 - 2025-26 Washington Capitals Predictions and Odds to Win Stanley Cup Finals
 - 2025-26 Vegas Golden Knights Predictions and Odds to Win Stanley Cup Finals
 - 2025-26 Vancouver Canucks Predictions and Odds to Win Stanley Cup Finals
 - 2025-26 Winnipeg Jets Predictions and Odds to Win Stanley Cup Finals
 
