NFL Office Pool Picks - Week 4
by Trevor Whenham - 9/29/2009
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It was a good week for making NFL picks last  weekend.  Games generally made more sense  in Week 3 than they did in the second week. This week we enter the first of  eight bye weeks. That means fewer games, so fewer chances for us to be wrong.  That's good news. Here's a look at this week's action. Remember, all games are  picked straight up, not against the spread:
  
  Detroit at Chicago - The Lions  finally got a win last week, and they deserved it. They are in a much tougher  spot here, though. The Bears have gotten better each time they have played, and  Jay Cutler appears to be settling into his new surroundings. Chicago doesn't  have to be at their best to win this one. Take the Bears.
  
  Cincinnati at Cleveland - The  Bengals have two gritty wins under their belts, and would have three if not for  that bizarre deflection in the Denver game. Cleveland has absolutely nothing  going for them - the quarterbacking is a joke, their coach is incompetent, and  their defense is extremely suspect. This one won't be close. Take the  Bengals.
  
  Oakland at Houston - The Texans are  the hardest team in the league to read right now. When they are at their best  they are extremely good, but they can also be incredibly bad. Luckily, they are  only playing the Raiders. Oakland has the worst quarterback in the NFL - not  just now but over the last decade. Even the schizophrenic Texans can't blow  that. Take the Texans.
  
  Seattle at Indianapolis - The  Seahawks have struggled this year. They have problems all over the field, and  they haven't yet looked confident or effective. That puts them in a tough spot  here. Indianapolis is coming off a huge performance at Arizona, and is playing  with a real swagger on offense. Take the Colts.
  
  Tennessee at Jacksonville - The  Titans must feel like they are cursed. They haven't played particularly badly,  but bad luck or bad circumstances means that they are winless. Jacksonville has  a win, but they still haven't played as well as the Titans. If Tennessee can  learn to field punts then they should be fine here. Take the Titans.
  
  N.Y. Giants at Kansas City - The  Giants are cruising. They played great against the Cowboys, and totally  immobilized the Bucs last week. They'll continue to look good against a team  that is improving, but doing it at a glacial pace. Kansas City will struggle to  score, and they will struggle to stop New York. Take the Giants.
  
  Baltimore at New England - New  England badly needs this win to prove that they are still the serious  contenders everyone assumed they were. I'm not sure that they'll get it,  though. Baltimore is playing better than anyone right now. They have been tough  on defense and explosive on offense. This game will be tough, but I give  Baltimore the edge. Take the Ravens.
  
  Tampa Bay at Washington - These are  two bad teams. Tampa Bay has absolutely no offense, and will be breaking in a  new QB this week, Josh Johnson, in a probably futile attempt to find some.  Washington looks like a lost team, and is in real danger of getting their coach  fired if they don't shape up soon. They should come through in this one at  home. After all, someone has to win. Take the Redskins.
  
  Buffalo at Miami - Over the long  term I think that Chad Henne is going to be a solid NFL QB. It might not happen  right away, though - especially because the Dolphins have struggled even before  he was forced to start. Buffalo hasn't been particularly strong recently,  either, but they are in a good position to take advantage of Miami's woes. Take  the Bills.
  
  N.Y. Jets at New Orleans - Both  teams are playing very well and have been two of the big stories of the early  season. One of them has to take their first misstep here. I think it will be  the Jets. Not only will they be playing on hostile ground, but they weren't as  strong last week as the score would suggest - they benefited from two fumbled  punts, and that won't happen again here. Take the Saints.
  
  Dallas at Denver - I have a hard  time trusting either one of these teams right now. As much as I didn't think I  would ever be saying this, I think that Denver will make it to 4-0. I don't  really know how they are winning, but they are doing it, and they will have the  advantage of being at home. Take the Broncos.
  
  St. Louis at San Francisco - I won't  spend much time on this one. San Francisco is a pretty good team who would be  3-0 if not for Brett Favre's last second heroics. St. Louis is a long way from  being a good team. Take the Niners.
  
  San Diego at Pittsburgh - The  Steelers have stumbled badly out of the gate this year. Their offense has  struggled, and they have totally forgotten how to run the ball. San Diego  hasn't exactly been dynamic and effective, either, but they have done more  things better than Pittsburgh has done so far. That gives them the edge. Take  the Chargers.
  
  Green Bay at Minnesota - Despite  having a combined record of 5-1 neither of these teams has been quite as strong  as they were expected to be coming out of the preseason. Back then I would have  picked Green Bay to win here, but they have been far too inconsistent since.  That means that Minnesota gets the edge here. Take the Vikings.
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