Jimmie Johnson and Carl Edwards, finishing second and third respectively at NHMS, made up the deficit in points from Kyle Busch quicker than anyone expected, after the first race of the Chase. Now the Sprint Cup points co-leaders roll to the second race of the Chase this Sunday at 2 p.m. EST; and at a track both drivers do very well at.

Gamblers who like to follow trends should note that Hendrick Motorsports has 10 wins at Dover, the most of any team racing on Sunday. Three of the past four races at Dover have been won by a driver outside of the top-10 on the grid.

Who will win the Camping World RV 400?

Don't look now, but there's two-time defending Sprint Cup Champion Jimmie Johnson tied for first with Carl Edwards. Thanks to what some call a points re-set (start of the Chase for the Sprint Cup awarding each Chase driver 5,000 points) combined with Biffle's win and Busch's 34th-place finish at New Hampshire Carl Edwards and Jimmie Johnson now share the points lead after the first race of the 10-race Chase.

Jimmie Johnson almost won his third consecutive race until Greg Biffle passed the No. 48 car with 31 laps and sprinted to the checkered flag. An unlikely winner was Biffle, who had not won in 33 races (since Kansas last year). But as I said last week anything can happen at NHMS and it often does. Jimmie Johnson has three wins at Dover and as the active driver with the second most wins at Dover behind Jeff Gordon, JJ will be a force on Sunday without a doubt.

Kyle Busch, who has also won at Dover, will look to end his six-race winless drought. Before the Chase began Kyle had not gone more than four races without a win. Even the 80 bonus points Busch earned by winning eight of the first 26 races was not enough to immunize him from a disastrous start to the Chase and the very real possibility that, like Jeff Gordon last year, he could lead the whole season only to have Johnson win the Sprint Cup during the Chase. Right now things don't look good for Kyle.

He isn't called "concrete" Carl for nothing. Edwards won his ninth-career race on concrete at Bristol in August and he came in second after leading 64 laps at Dover in June. Carl Edwards won this race last September and has done no worse than third place in the past four races at Dover; and owns the best average finish at 8.25 of all drivers. In my mind this race is a no-brainer. I picked him to win last year and I'm advising the same this year.

Pick! Carl Edwards, No. 99, (5/1)

Solid Gold Picks

Sportsbook.com has listed many matchups on the Camping World RV 400 this weekend but here are two that should cash. Last weekend there were no NASCAR matchups by deadline so my record Over-the-Wall remains at 13-15 and +.15 units on the season after 27 of 36 Sprint Cup races completed.

Camping World RV 400 Matchup

Denny Hamlin, No. 11, (+1.05) vs. Matt Kenseth, No.17, (-1.35)

Everything in this matchup points to Kenseth blowing away Hamlin this weekend at Dover. But I don't buy it. Not after witnessing last week's sorry showing by Kenseth and his team. Dover is a good place for Kenseth to gain some ground in the Chase. Kenseth's aced 19 times at Dover and sports one win, six top-fives and 11 top-10s with an average finish of 14.7. Compare this to Hamlin's five starts, no wins, one top-five and two top-10s with a whopping 21.0 average finish. This is a matchup where the numbers don't tell the whole story. Kenseth is currently 177 points behind the leader and 12th (last place) in the Chase. Hamlin is in striking distance at 72 points off the pace, good enough for sixth in the Chase and good enough to have my money solidly behind the No. 11 car.

Pick! Denny Hamlin, No. 11, (+1.05), 3 units.

Greg Biffle, No. 16, (+1.25) vs. Kyle Busch, No. 18, (-1.55)

Okay, I'll bite on this one. Sure Busch won this race in June but that was when he owned NASCAR. He hasn't won in six races and since his sway bar malfunction, one-lap penalty, a spin-out, and 34th-place finish (after winning the pole courtesy of yet another qualifying rain-out) last Sunday at NHMS; it looks like No. 18 has run into some bad Juju. But bad Juju never stops the public from hammering the favorite of this ilk. Don't forget in June Biffle led the Best Buy 400 for 164 laps to Kyle's 154 but ended up finishing fifth to Kyle's first.

Pick! Greg Biffle, No. 16, (+1.25), 1 unit.

Long Odds Pick

Martin Truex Jr., won the Autism Speaks 400 at Dover by a gaudy 7.355 seconds last June. Just because a driver didn't make the Chase doesn't mean they won't win. Truex Jr., drives well at Dover as his 9.6 average finish attests. The only driver in the Chase who has a better average finish at Dover is our pick to win, Carl Edwards, with an average finish of 8.6. Truex, Jr., has notched one win, one top-five and three top-10s at the Monster Mile. Despite not being in the Chase for the Sprint Cup I like the No. 1 car's chances on Sunday.

Pick! Martin Truex, Jr., No. 1, (25/1)

Camping World RV 400 Odds
Sun, Sep 21st (2:00pm EST)
Dover International Speedway, DE

A.J. Allmendinger 100/1
Bobby Labonte 100/1
Brian Vickers 30/1
Carl Edwards 5/1
Casey Mears 100/1
Clint Bowyer 28/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 10/1
Dave Blaney 100/1
David Gilliland 100/1
David Ragan 30/1
David Reutimann 100/1
Denny Hamlin 12/1
Elliott Sadler 100/1
Greg Biffle 8/1
Jamie McMurray 100/1
Jeff Burton 25/1
Jeff Gordon 15/1
Jimmie Johnson 11/2
Joe Nemechek 100/1
Johnny Sauter 200/1
Juan Pablo Montoya 100/1
Kasey Kahne 20/1
Ken Schrader 200/1
Kevin Harvick 30/1
Kurt Busch 50/1
Kyle Busch 4/1
Kyle Petty 200/1
Marcos Ambrose 100/1
Mark Martin 35/1
Martin Truex Jr. 25/1
Matt Kenseth 10/1
Michael McDowell 100/1
Michael Waltrip 100/1
Patrick Carpentier 100/1
Paul Menard 100/1
Reed Sorenson 100/1
Regan Smith 100/1
Robby Gordon 100/1
Ryan Newman 50/1
Sam Hornish Jr. 100/1
Scott Riggs 100/1
Stanton Barrett 200/1
Tony Raines 100/1
Tony Stewart 10/1
Travis Kvapil 100/1

*odds courtesy of Bodog