Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins

Date: Monday, May 5, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (-144) Miami (+120)

The Los Angeles Dodgers (21-10) are traveling to loanDepot park on Monday where they will attempt to defeat the Miami Marlins (12-18). The line on this matchup has Los Angeles at -144 and Miami is sitting at +120. The betting total is set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Ben Casparius and Sandy Alcantara.

As a team, the Los Angeles Dodgers are notching 5.4 runs per game, which has them at 3rd in the league. They have accumulated 167 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .337. The Dodgers have earned 50 doubles as a team and have hit 50 baseballs out of the park. They have accrued 161 runs batted in as well as 267 hits this season, while their average at the plate is at .258. Los Angeles is slugging .462 and have been rung up 250 times, while drawing a walk on 118 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.53 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.28. Dodgers pitchers have conceded 31 long balls and 132 runs (14th in the league). Los Angeles has yielded 237 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) as well as 118 earned runs. The Dodgers have compiled a team earned run average of 3.86 on the season (13th in the league), and their staff has struck out 293 batters. They have walked 116 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.74 as a squad for the season.

Dodgers pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 20 times in addition to having 37 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 30 holds over the course of the season (1st in MLB). The Dodgers bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 63.2% and have stepped onto the mound in 51 save situations. They have earned 12 saves this season and have missed out on 7 out of their 19 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 25 base runners on the campaign with 24.0% of those runners crossed home plate. The Dodgers have dispatched 121 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

The Los Angeles Angels have earned 825 putouts this year, as well as 257 assists and 13 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which puts them in 9th in pro baseball, and have earned 24 double plays. The Dodgers have converted 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of 2,475 innings on the diamond, ranking them 19th in baseball.

Casparius (5-0 career record) has a FIP of 2.72 and he has gone up against 122 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 26 base hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) and has 7 walks. His earned run average is 2.76 (9 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.126. Casparius has taken the mound for 29 frames and has earned 35 strikeouts in his career.

The Miami Marlins have recorded a team on-base percentage of .317 and a team batting average of .255 on the season. They have struck out on 266 occasions (10th in baseball) and have notched a total of 265 base hits. Miami has hit 27 home runs so far this season to go along with 128 RBIs. The Marlins have a team slugging percentage of .388 and they average 4.50 runs per contest (14th in the league). They have put up 52 two-baggers, while walking 89 times and racking up 135 runs.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.587 and have a FIP of 4.97 as a pitching staff for the season. They come in at 27th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 287. The Miami pitching staff have allowed 186 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 5.90 (175 earned runs conceded). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 7.90 (236 strikeouts vs 137 walks). They have relinquished 41 home runs and they yield 6.27 runs per 9 innings (30th in the league).

Sitting with 25 save situations, the Marlins have 16 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. Miami has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 9 save chances and they have come away with 5 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 34 times in high leverage situations and on 37 occasions with base runners. Miami relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.7% of 49 inherited base runners. They are ranked 21st in the league with a save rate of 55.6%, and they have sent 106 relievers to the hill so far this year.

The Miami Marlins have turned 20 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in pro baseball). The Marlins have 274 assists, 15 errors and are sitting with 802 putouts for the year. In 2,406 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 67.6% (26th in pro baseball).

So far in his career, Alcantara has surrendered 795 hits while totaling 808 strikeouts in 926 innings pitched. Alcantara (43-58 career mark) holds a 3.46 earned run average and has allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 356 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.171 and having a FIP of 3.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.79 and he has gone up against 3,800 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-144)

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