2025 NFL Season Win Totals Predictions

by Ryan Cobbett - 5/1/2025

NFL season win totals predictions Patrick Mahomes Kansas City Chiefs

Now that the draft is officially in the rearview mirror, teams are now looking towards their upcoming camps while assessing their rosters for any final holes or question marks that they need to address. After the draft, some teams are still left with some big questions, like who exactly will be under center for the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Dallas Cowboys needing to address their skill position group after passing on that need over the first three rounds of the draft. We are anticipating the schedule drop that is to come here in the next few weeks and while September 5th seems like a long way away, it is never too early to take a look at win totals.

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Let’s dive into how each team’s draft class impacted which side of the win total they will fall on:

Arizona Cardinals – O/U 8.5 Wins

Arizona has done well in addressing their weaknesses on the defensive side of the ball. In order to flip the script on their defense that ranked 21st in YPG, they have added Josh Sweat, Calais Campbell, and Dalvin Tomlinson via free agency as well as drafting Walter Nolen to their defensive line while adding Will Johnson in the second round to boost the secondary. Not bad Arizona. If they add a wide receiver, this team could be dangerous.

My Pick: Over 8.5, +100

Atlanta Falcons – O/U 7.5 Wins

The Falcons should finally be able to make the opposing quarterback uneasy with their pass rush. Atlanta has spent all offseason addressing the defense while the offense remains the same. It will be interesting to see how the Kirk Cousins saga plays out, but the Falcons should be in a good position to win at least eight games.

My Pick: Over 7.5, -140

Baltimore Ravens – O/U 11.5 Wins

The Ravens defense may finally be returning to the elite level we have come to know over the last few seasons. They drafted their guy, Malaki Starks, to boost the secondary while also getting a steal in Mike Green with their second-round pick. DeAndre Hopkins could be a good signing as well if he stays on the field. 12 wins seems to be the floor for this team.

My Pick: Over 11.5, -110

Buffalo Bills – O/U 11.5 Wins

Buffalo will benefit from playing in one of the weakest divisions in the NFL. The defensive was reshaped through the draft while the Bills also added Joey Bosa via free agency. It is hard to see Buffalo regress from their 12 wins thanks to what should be an improved defense. Unless they get a tough draw on their schedule, expect Buffalo to win a lot next season.

My Pick: Over 11.5, -140

Carolina Panthers – O/U 6.5 Wins

The Panthers made a surprising pick in the first round by taking Tetairoa McMillan out of Arizona. He gives the Panthers a solid redzone threat, but the defense has not made the necessary improvements it has needed for Carolina to be a winning team. I expect them to finish with another five-win season.

My Pick: Under 6.5, +105

Chicago Bears – O/U 8.5 Wins

The Bears added some solid playmakers to Ben Johnson’s new offense with their first two picks in the draft. Colston Loveland immediately boosts a tight end room that was amongst the worst in the NFL in terms of production while wide receiver Luther Burden III will join Rome Odunze and DJ Moore to form a solid trio of wide outs for Caleb Williams. However, the rest of the division remains a step ahead of Chicago.

My Pick: Under 8.5, -140

Cincinnati Bengals – O/U 9.5 Wins

The Bengals draft class is a bit of a head scratcher considering they waited until the third round to address their need at offensive guard. Shemar Stewart is a solid development piece that could plug holes on the defensive line. However, after shelling out a lot of money to resign their top offensive playmakers, the team has not improved much. This one is tough, but nine wins seems to be their ceiling.

My Pick: Under 9.5, +110

Cleveland Browns - O/U 5.5 Wins

Until a quarterback emerges for this team, I am taking the under. This team remains in the deep end in terms of the drama surrounding this team internally and externally. Mason Graham joins Myles Garrett in what should be a solid defensive line, but the offense is questionable. The Browns will improve on their win total from last season, but by two games at best.

My Pick: Under 5.5, -130

Dallas Cowboys – O/U 7.5 Wins

The Cowboys quietly put together one of the best draft classes from this year’s draft as they drafted three players who were all graded as a first-round prospect at some point. Tyler Booker adds longevity and fresh legs to the restructured Cowboys offensive line while edge rusher Donovan Ezeiruaku should replace Demarcus Lawrence while Savon Revel Jr. adds to what could be the best group of corners in the NFL. Dallas needs to add a wide receiver before the season starts, but this team should return to their winning ways.

My Pick: Over 7.5, -110

Denver Broncos – O/U 9.5 Wins

The Broncos snuck into the playoffs last season after posting a 10-win year. The defense should be much improved this season as the secondary now features Talanoa Hufanga and Jahdae Barron running around in the secondary with Pat Surtain II and Riley Moss while Dre Greenlaw was a terrific addition to the linebacker core. The running back room is highly questionable, but I like Denver to reach the 10-win mark again this season.

My Pick: Over 9.5, +125

Detroit Lions – O/U 10.5 Wins

The Lions got better in the trenches as they added defensive tackle Tyleik Williams out of Ohio State and offensive guard Tate Ratledge out of Georgia. They also signed three cornerbacks in an attempt to revamp their secondary as they ranked 30th in pass defense last season. This is an easy over, the Lions did not regress by five games.

My Pick: Over 10.5, +110

Green Bay Packers – O/U 9.5 Wins

The Packers finally invested in a first-round wide receiver as they drafted Matthew Golden out of Texas. They also drafted wide receiver Savion Williams out of TCU who could very easily become one of Jordan Love’s favorite redzone weapons. These Packers should join the elite tier of NFC teams this season.

My Pick: Over 9.5, +110

Houston Texans – O/U 9.5 Wins

The Texans have been one of the busiest teams in the offseason. The defense should be fine, but it is the offense that is the X-Factor. They revamped their offensive line in order to protect C.J. Stroud. They also added two Iowa State receivers, in Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel, in an attempt to give Stroud plenty of weapons in the event Tank Dell is unable to return to form. Look out for Houston this season, they will improve on their 10-win season from a year ago.

My Pick: Over 9.5, +115

Indianapolis Colts – O/U 7.5 Wins

Having Tyler Warren fall into their hands at pick 14 was an incredible start to the NFL draft for the Colts. However, they haven’t done enough this season on the defensive side of the ball to be considered playoff contenders. Additionally, there will be a lot of questions surrounding a quarterback room that features Anthony Richardson and Daniel Jones. Take the under here.

My Pick: Under 7.5, -110

Jacksonville Jaguars – O/U 7.5 Wins

The Jaguars gave up a lot in order to move up to the second pick in the draft to get Travis Hunter, but it is hard to bash as of now with such an exciting prospect now in their uniform. Hunter joins Jourdan Lewis in what will be a much better secondary this season, but Trevor Lawrence has yet to live up to his potential. Hunter is an incredible talent, but he does not improve the teams win total four games.

My Pick: Under 7.5, +100

Kansas City Chiefs – O/U 11.5 Wins

You don’t usually get the flashiest prospect with the 32nd pick in the NFL Draft, but the Chiefs struck gold in former Top 10 prospect Josh Simmons. Simmons had an injury that dropped his draft stock, but he was once considered to be a top tackle in this draft. Adding him to the offensive line is a huge win for the Chiefs. Expect Kansas City to once again roll through the AFC West and end up as one of the top seeds in the playoffs.

My Pick: Over 11.5, +100

Las Vegas Raiders – O/U 7.5 Wins

The Raiders got a generational talent at running back by drafting Ashton Jeanty with the sixth pick in the draft. As a whole, the Raiders roster is still full of holes and question marks heading into the season. The defense is still going to be one of the worst in the league and the offense wont be able to do enough to put them in the win column.

My Pick: Under 7.5, -135

Los Angeles Chargers – O/U 9.5 Wins

The Chargers added two new weapons for Justin Herbert in running back Omarion Hampton and wide receiver Tre Harris. Harris will join Mike Williams and Ladd McConkey to form what could be one of the most underrated wide out groups in the league. It helps with Hampton and Najee Harris getting it done on the ground. Look for this team to return to the playoffs again here and maybe give the Chiefs a run for their money in the division.

My Pick: Over 9.5, +115

Los Angeles Rams – O/U 9.5 Wins

In Rams fashion, the draft was rather underwhelming for this team. Tight end Terrance Ferguson will be a solid player for the Rams, but this team will go only as far as Matthew Stafford takes them. The NFC West is one of the most confusing divisions in the league, but the Rams may find themselves atop the standings once again this season.

My Pick: Over 9.5, -145

Miami Dolphins – O/U 8.5 Wins

Miami beat just one playoff team last season but ended up with eight wins. Unless they get another incredibly favorable schedule pull, these Dolphins will not reach eight wins again. They did go 3-1 against the New York Jets and the New England Patriots, with the latter taking big strides forward this offseason. Give me the under here.

My Pick: Under 8.5, -140

Minnesota Vikings – O/U 8.5 Wins

They added to the trenches throughout the offseason and should once again find themselves near the top of the division in the NFC North. We will finally see how well J.J. McCarthy does in this offense, but even if it is a failure, reuniting with Kirk Cousins could keep this team in the playoffs. There is no way this team finishes below .500 this season.

My Pick: Over 8.5, -130

New England Patriots – O/U 7.5 Wins

The Patriots used their first four picks in this draft to turn their offense into an NFL caliber group. The offensive line has been addressed, and the team has Stefon Diggs, Kyle Williams, and TreVeyon Henderson in the mix. This team will miss the playoffs, but there will be some huge strides from this offense this season and they should reach eight wins, unless they pull an impossible schedule.

My Pick: Over 7.5, -140

New Orleans Saints – O/U 6.5 Wins

The Saints decided to draft Tyler Shough to battle it out with Derek Carr for the starting quarterback spot for the season. However, this defense is still going to be one of the worst in the league and the question marks at quarterback have this franchise once again missing Drew Brees. I expect the Saints to finish at or near the league standings this season.

My Pick: Under 6.5, -140

New York Giants - O/U 5.5 Wins

The Giants had the best opening round of the NFL draft with the addition of Abdul Carter and Jaxson Dart. Carter will join a defensive group that already showcases Brian Burns, Dexter Lawrence II, and Chauncey Golston. Russell Wilson, Jameis Winston, and Dart combine for a huge upgrade in the quarterback room, but this team still has a way to go before competing.

My Pick: Under 5.5, -145

New York Jets – O/U 5.5 Wins

The Jets had to address their need at tackle with their first pick and they did just that by drafting Armand Membou. Membou and Olu Fashanu give Justin Fields some solid tackle help in front of him as he and the rest of the league await his full potential without defenders in his face all game. The defense wasn’t bad last season, so if they can improve offensively, expect them to win at least six games.

My Pick: Over 5.5, -145

Philadelphia Eagles – O/U 11.5 Wins

The defending champs used their first five selections in the draft to address the holes in their defense. The team got a lot weaker in the trenches, which was their clear strength in the Super Bowl. Still, they have the best secondary in the league and they should once again find themselves amongst the top teams in the league.

My Pick: Over 11.5, -110

Pittsburgh Steelers – O/U 8.5 Wins

The Steelers have people wondering why they did not address their need at quarterback until the sixth round when they drafted Will Howard. However, the draft class is solid as they were able to add Derrick Harmon on the defensive line while also getting an absolute steal in Kaleb Johnson who could find himself as the teams starting running back. Until they add Aaron Rodgers, this team is not a playoff squad.

My Pick: Under 8.5, -130

San Francisco 49ers – O/U 10.5 Wins

Injuries pushed this team to the basement of the NFC West division. Now the defense, specifically the secondary, looks a lot different heading into the season. Deebo Samuel has been moved as well which weakens an offense that can never keep their star players on the field at the same time. Even if healthy, this is not an 11-win team.

My Pick: Under 10.5, -130

Seattle Seahawks – O/U 7.5 Wins

Seattle had a confusing offseason as well. Sam Darnold is the starting quarterback, but the team added Cooper Kupp and Demarcus Lawrence which boosts both sides of the ball. However, the division is tough now with the improvements of Arizona and the wild card 49ers. If the latter stay healthy and the Cardinals meet their expectations, the Seahawks will fall to the bottom of the division.

My Pick: Under 7.5, +105

Tampa Bay Buccaneers – O/U 9.5 Wins

Tampa Bay won the division last season with 10 wins; however, the Falcons took big steps forward this offseason. The division race will come down to the wire for these two teams, but the younger Falcons squad should take the top spot. Baker Mayfield is inconsistent and while he has a lot of weapons to work with, this is an aging roster.

My Pick: Under 9.5, -130

Tennessee Titans - O/U 5.5 Wins

The Titans found their next quarterback in Cam Ward. They also added a steal in the second round by drafting Oluwafemi Oladejo out of UCLA. The Titans got better, but they should still be in contention for the first pick in next year’s draft as this franchise still has a long way to go.

My Pick: Under 5.5, +120

Washington Commanders – O/U 9.5 Wins

Washington has hit the fast forward button for their rebuild. After an incredible and unexpected season last year, the Commanders went out and added Laremy Tunsil, Josh Conerly Jr. and Nate Herbig to boost the offensive line, they added Deebo Samuel and Michael Gallup to the wide receiver room that already featured Terry McLaurin. They also added to their defense by signing Javon Kinlaw and drafting Trey Amos. Washington should compete with the Eagles for the top spot in the NFC East this season.

My Pick: Over 9.5, -110

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Start:	May 6, 2025 @ 10:05 PM
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2025 NFL Season Win Totals Predictions

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